所属栏目:资本市场/市场有效性/2024/2024年第02期

Post Earnings Announcement Drift: Earnings Surprise Measuring, the Medium Effect of Investor Attention and Investing Strategy
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发布日期:2024年03月20日 上次修订日期:2024年03月20日

摘要

Drifting in the direction of earnings surprises for a prolonged period is a decades-puzzling financial anomaly, i.e., the “post-earnings-announcement drift” (PEAD). This paper provided a new simple measure of earnings surprise called ORJ. Based on ORJ, not only is the medium effect of investors’ attention on the relationship between earnings surprises and PEAD analyzed, but a tractable and profitable investing strategy is provided. Through comprehensive empirical analysis of the Chinese stock market, we found that i) both earnings surprises and investor attention can increase the degree of PEAD; ii) “good” (bad) earnings surprises strengthen (weaken) the degree of drift by attracting (decreasing) investor attention; it is asymmetric that the positive effects of “good” earnings surprises are stronger than that of “bad” earnings surprises on PEAD; and iii) the strategy obtains an average 6.78% return per quarter in excess of the market and only longs dozens of stocks . iv) Typical pricing factors such as the Fama-French three factors, illiquidity and company characteristics have little explanatory power for the returns of the strategy. This paper strongly shows the importance of monitoring overnight returns of earnings announcements to digging the unexpected information, reveals one mechanism of earnings surprises on PEAD and demonstrates the potential profitability of PEAD in the Chinese market.
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Qiujun Lan; Yuxuan Xie; Xianhua Mi; Chunyu Zhang Post Earnings Announcement Drift: Earnings Surprise Measuring, the Medium Effect of Investor Attention and Investing Strategy (2024年03月20日) http://www.cfrn.com.cn/dzqk/detail/15586.html

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