所属栏目:资本市场/资产定价

Factor Timing in the Chinese Stock Market
认领作者 认领作者管理权限
发布日期:2025年05月12日 上次修订日期:2025年05月12日

摘要

I conduct an exploratory study about the feasibility of factor timing in the Chinese stock market, covering 24 representative and well-identiffed risk factors in ten categories from the literature. The long-short portfolio of short-term reversal exhibits strong and statistically signiffcant out-of-sample predictability, which is robust across various models and all types of predictors. However, such results are not evident in the prediction of all other factors’ long-short portfolios, as well as all factors’ long-wing and short-wing portfolios. The high exposure to the market beta, together with the unpredictability of the market return, explains these failures to some degree. On the other hand, a simple investment strategy based on predicted returns of the reversal factor’s long-short portfolio obtains a signiffcant return three times higher than the simple buy-and-hold strategy in the sample period, with a signiffcant annualized 20.4% CH-3 alpha.
展开

YUXIAO WU Factor Timing in the Chinese Stock Market (2025年05月12日) http://www.cfrn.com.cn/index.php/lw/16235.html

选择要认领的作者1
身份验证1
确认
取消