Mortgage Debt, Hand-to-Mouth Households, and Monetary Policy Transmission
认领作者 认领管理权限
发布日期:2021年09月24日 上次修订日期:2021年11月27日


Using a representative sample of credit card holders from a leading Chinese commercial bank, we investigate how consumers respond to an unexpected interest rate decrease that automatically reduces interest expenses for all mortgage borrowers in the country and thereby generates significant positive disposable-income shocks. Our difference-in-differences analysis shows that compared with homeowners without mortgage obligations, mortgage borrowers increased their monthly credit card spending by 8.6% after the 230bps mortgage rate reduction announced in September 2008. We find a significant spending response both immediately after the announcement and during the post-reset period. The credit card delinquency rate also decreased after the mortgage rate reset. Subsequent to an interest-rate-increase episode, mortgage borrowers symmetrically reduced their credit card spending. Hand-to-mouth mortgage borrowers experienced a more pronounced spending increase, even among those with ample credit access. The debt-service channel plays an important role in transmitting monetary policy—our estimate implies a marginal propensity to consume (MPC) of 0.41-0.54 through credit card spending.

张强. 逆向选择还是正向选择?——我国健康险市场的实证研究【EB/OL】工作论文(2012-10-15)http://

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