所属栏目:资本市场/投资基金

Do Mutual Funds Time the Market? Evidence from Portfolio Holdings
认领作者 认领作者管理权限
发布日期:2008年05月03日 上次修订日期:2008年05月03日

摘要

Existing literature has found no evidence of market-timing ability by mutual funds using tests based on fund returns. This paper proposes alternative market-timing tests based on observed fund holdings. The holdings-based measures are shown to be more powerful than the return-based measures, and are not subject to "articial timing" bias. Applying the holdings-based tests, we nd strong evidence of mutual fund timing ability. Our findings also suggest that market-timing funds tend to have higher returns and trade more actively. Furthermore, they seem to have market-timing information beyond those common return-predictive economic variables documented in the academic studies. Finally, we quantify the potential economic value of market-timing as a contingent claim. The magnitude of the estimated values indicates that market-timing is potentially an important investment strategy deserving more academic attention.
展开

关键词:

Funds Market

George J. Jiang; Tong Yao Do Mutual Funds Time the Market? Evidence from Portfolio Holdings (2008年05月03日) http://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/12031

选择要认领的作者1
身份验证1
确认
取消