所属栏目:银行与金融机构/金融与宏观经济

摘要

An optimal tax and borrowing plan determines the marginal cost of servicing government debt, p', and makes the government’s debt risk-free. An option to default restricts debt capacity. Optimal debt-GDP ratio dynamics are driven by 1) a primary deficit, 2) interest payments, 3) GDP growth, and 4) hedging costs. Hedging influences debt capacity and debt transition dynamics. For plausible parameter values, we make comparative dynamic quantitative statements about debt-GDP ratio transition dynamics, debt capacity, and how long it would take our example economy to attain that calibrated equilibrium debt capacity.
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Wei Jiang; Thomas J. Sargent; Neng Wang; Jinqiang Yang A p Theory of Government Debt, Taxes, and Inflation (2023年11月18日) http://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/15392

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