所属栏目:银行与金融机构/金融与宏观经济

摘要

This paper investigates how domestic policy uncertainty stemming from discretionary fiscal policy disrupts the efficient capital allocation across firms. While fiscal policy represents the government’s reaction to economic conditions, its volatility presents firms with considerable uncertainty about conditions affecting their future profitability and consequently disrupts firms’ decisions on investment in the presence of capital adjustment costs. Using firm-level data from Chinese manufacturing industries spanning from 1998 to 2007, we find that reducing fiscal policy volatility leads to a decrease in the dispersion of marginal revenue product of capital, accounting for 8.9 percent of the observed improvement in capital allocation during the sample period. In addition to various fiscal reforms to curb fiscal policy volatility directly, policies contributing to lower capital adjustment costs and lower reliance of firms on government expenditure can alleviate the adverse effects caused by fiscal policy volatility.
展开

Sai Ding; Wei Jiang; Shengyu Li; Shangjin Wei Fiscal Policy Volatility and Capital Misallocation: Evidence from China (2024年03月06日) http://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/15562.html

选择要认领的作者1
身份验证1
确认
取消