所属栏目:家庭金融/行为金融

Mercury, Mood, and Mispricing: A Natural Experiment in the Chinese Stock Market
认领作者 认领作者管理权限
发布日期:2024年03月21日 上次修订日期:2024年03月21日

摘要

This paper examines the effects of superstitious psychology on investors’ decision making in the context of Mercury retrograde, a special astronomical phenomenon meaning “everything going wrong”. Using natural experiments in the Chinese stock market, we find a significant decline in stock prices, approximately -3.14% in the vicinity of Mercury retrogrades, with a subsequent reversal following these periods. The Mercury effect is robust after considering seasonality, the calendar effect, and well-known firm-level characteristics. Our mechanism tests are consistent with model-implied conjectures that stocks covered by higher investor attention are more influenced by superstitious psychology in the extensive and intensive channels. A superstitious hedge strategy motivated by our findings can generate an average annualized market-adjusted return of 8.73%.
展开

Shubo Kou; Xiyuan Ma Mercury, Mood, and Mispricing: A Natural Experiment in the Chinese Stock Market (2024年03月21日) http://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/15588.html

选择要认领的作者1
身份验证1
确认
取消