A political-macroeconomic model is developed to explain why small differences in
fiscal decentralization may ultimately lead to dramatically di¤erent economic policies
toward FDI hence starkly different amount of FDI flows into two otherwise identical
developing countries. Too much fiscal decentralization hurts incentives of the central
government while too little fiscal decentralization renders the local governments captured
by the protectionist special interest group. Moreover, the local government's preference
for FDI can be endogenously polarized and sensitive to fiscal decentralization. Calibration
and counterfactual experiments results support fiscal decentralization as the major reason
for China and India's nine-fold difference in FDI per capita.
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