所属栏目:资本市场/资产定价/2024/2024年第04期

Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Realized Volatility, Volatility Components and Jump Dynamics
认领作者 认领作者管理权限
发布日期:2023年12月10日 上次修订日期:2023年12月10日

摘要

This paper proposes the two-component realized EGARCH model with dynamic jump intensity (hereafter REGARCH-C-DJI model) to model and forecast stock market volatility. The key feature of our REGARCH-C-DJI model is its ability to exploit the high-frequency information as well as to capture the long memory volatility and jump dynamics. An empirical application to Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSEC) index data shows the presence of high persistence of volatility and dynamic jumps in China’s stock market. More importantly, the REGARCH-C-DJI model dominates the GARCH, EGARCH, REGARCH and REGARCH-C models in terms of out-of-sample forecast performance. Our findings highlight the importance of accommodating the realized volatility, volatility components and jump dynamics in forecasting stock market volatility.
展开

论文统计数据

  • 浏览次数:

    2254
  • 下载次数:

    0

Xuebao Yin; Xinyu Wu; Xiaomeng Mao Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Realized Volatility, Volatility Components and Jump Dynamics (2023年12月10日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/dzqk/detail/15447.html

选择要认领的作者1
身份验证1
确认
取消