所属栏目:银行与金融机构/中央银行与货币政策/2024/2024年第01期

FOMC Announcements and Secular Declines in Global Interest Rates
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发布日期:2024年02月13日 上次修订日期:2024年02月13日

摘要

Secular declines in global sovereign yields are concentrated in short event windows around U.S. monetary policy announcement dates. Cumulative changes in sovereign yields during FOMC announcement dates contain critical information for explaining the persistent variations in the yields, predicting future yields and excess bond returns, and determining interest rate expectations and term premia. We build a dynamic term structure model with shifting endpoints to study the effects of U.S. monetary policy on world yield curves. Our findings highlight that U.S. monetary policy drives the secular declines in global interest rates by reducing expected interest rates.
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李泽昊 FOMC Announcements and Secular Declines in Global Interest Rates (2024年02月13日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/dzqk/detail/15520.html

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