所属栏目:资本市场/资产定价/2025/2025年第03期

Firm Engagement in Belt and Road Initiative and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Evidence from China
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发布日期:2025年02月18日 上次修订日期:2025年02月18日

摘要

We construct firm-level indicators to capture the engagement in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI, henceforth) via textual analysis. We find that higher firm engagement in BRI predicts higher stock returns in the subsequent 12 months. The top 10% high-BRI firms have 12.42% higher annual returns than bottom 10% low-BRI firms in China A-Share market. Additionally, two fundamental channels of increased earnings and reduced liabilities explain the higher expected returns of high-BRI firms. Furthermore, we reveal that the phenomenon is more pronounced among non-state-owned enterprises. For large-cap firms, BR Report is a more effective indicator for predicting future stock returns, while BR Beta performs better for small-cap firms. These findings contribute to the measurement of firm engagement in BRI and its impact on the stock market.
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陈熠辉; 汪潇娟; 廖金升; 何欣 Firm Engagement in Belt and Road Initiative and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Evidence from China (2025年02月18日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/dzqk/detail/16142

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