所属栏目:银行与金融机构/金融与宏观经济

Do Imports Crowd Out Domestic Consumption?A Comparative Study of China, Japan and Korea
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发布日期:2011年03月03日 上次修订日期:2011年03月03日

摘要

A decline in the relative price of imported goods compared to that of domestically produced goods may have different effects on domestic consumption. Such effects may not be accurately detected and measured in a classical permanent-income model without considering consumption habit formation as pointed out by Nishiyama (2005). To resolve this problem, this paper employs an extended permanent-income model which encompasses consumption habit formation. Both cointegration analysis and GMM are used to estimate the (modified) intratemporal elasticities of substitution (AES) between imports and domestic consumption and the parameters of habit formation as well as the (modified) intertemporal elasticities of substitution (IES). We find that import and domestic consumptions are complements in China, but substitutes in Japan and Korea. Different per capita incomes and consumer behaviors between China and the other two countries are two possible reasons for different relationships between import and domestic consumptions. The research findings have important implications on policies such as exchange rate adjustments in China. (2011中国金融国际年会博士论文征文)
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Chuanglian Chen; Guojin Chen; Shujie Yao Do Imports Crowd Out Domestic Consumption?A Comparative Study of China, Japan and Korea (2011年03月03日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/13560.html

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