Optimal Timing and Optimal Intensity of Real Estate Development
Abstract
The traditional real option approach treat firms as price taker and at the same time the
firm is assumed to have monopoly power because no competition or future competitive
entry is not considered in most of the real option literature.
In this article we assume the real estate developer has monopoly power in a real estate
submarket, given the nature of real estate market. The developer makes the timing
decision as well as the intensity decision at the same time. We model the developer
decision in the framework of the real option and derived the optimal timing and optimal
intensity of real estate development of a certain real estate project.
Our Result shows that not only the uncertainty but also the low rent sensitivity of
housing demand will lead to defer of real estate development. And both the timing
decision and intensity decision are sensitive to the demand factors besides the
uncertainty effect.
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