本文首先建立两部门内生增长开放经济的动态模型，然后在此基础上将其发展为一个中国加入世贸组织的不可逆性决策的随机微分数学模型。通过求出该随机问题的最优解，从而得出中国加入世贸的最佳时机，同时也讨论了加快或减慢中国入世的相关因素。
This paper develops a simple theoretical open economy model to analysis the irreversible decision of China’s accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO). From the optimal solution of a stochastic differential equation based on the option theory in financial economics, it derived the optimal timing for China’s entry into the WTO and discussed what factors that may speed up or slow down the entry.
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