所属栏目:银行与金融机构/金融与宏观经济

The Effect of Monetary Policy on Real Estate Price Growth in China
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发布日期:2011年12月30日 上次修订日期:2011年12月30日

摘要

Using quarterly data from 1998:Q1 to 2009:Q4 and monthly data from July 2005 to February 2010, this paper examines the impact of key monetary policy variables, including long- term benchmark bank loan rate, money supply growth, and mortgage credit policy indicator, on the real estate price growth dynamics in China. Empirical results consistently demonstrate that lower interest rate, faster money supply growth and loosening mortgage down payment requirement tend to accelerate the subsequent home price growth, and vice versa. These results suggest that Chinese monetary policy actions are the key driving forces behind the change of real estate price growth in China. We also show that hot money flow does not have significant impact on the change of home price growth after controlling for the money supply growth. Finally, a bullish stock market tends to accelerate subsequent home price growth.
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Xiaoqing Eleanor Xu; Tao Chen The Effect of Monetary Policy on Real Estate Price Growth in China (2011年12月30日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/13903.html

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