所属栏目:资本市场/资产定价

Can US Economic Variables Predict the Chinese Stock Market?
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发布日期:2012年02月29日 上次修订日期:2012年02月29日

摘要

Given that the impact of the world economy on the China economy and its stock market may have increased substantially in the last few decades, we examine whether US economic variables can predict the Chinese stock market. We find that although before China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) in the end of 2001, the US economic variables generally do not show significant predictive power on the Chinese stock market, they do provide significant predictive power after 2001. Moreover, we show that the US economic variables can be used in conjunction with China economic variables to achieve better return forecasts for the Chinese stock market, which turn out to be economically important from an investment perspective.
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Jeremy C. Goh; Fuwei Jiang; Jun Tu Can US Economic Variables Predict the Chinese Stock Market? (2012年02月29日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/13957.html

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