所属栏目:资本市场/政府政策与监管

The Regime-Switching Policy for the RMB
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发布日期:2023年11月17日 上次修订日期:2023年11月17日

摘要

The RMB exchange rate policy follows a “two-pillar” rule, with the market pillar reflecting foreign exchange market conditions and the basket pillar stabilizing the RMB index. This paper documents a clear pattern of regime-switching in the policy coefficients on the market pillar. And the regime-switching patterns are driven by macroeconomic variables, the intraday market condition as well as the news on trade conflicts. In a Markov-switching rational expectations model, we demonstrate that regime-switching rules expand the policy parameter’s space over which a unique equilibrium exists and the self-fulfilling depreciation is ruled out. Thus, this paper rationalizes the use of counter-cyclical factor— a policy tool proposed to stabilize the RMB exchange market.
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Sihao Chen; Shi Qiu The Regime-Switching Policy for the RMB (2023年11月17日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/15391.html

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