所属栏目:资本市场/市场有效性

摘要

Investor sentiment has a crucial impact on stock market pricing. Based on prospect theory and partial least squares, we innovatively construct an investor sentiment indicator and verify the validity of the indicator. Compared with other sentiment indices, our investor sentiment index is more effective in in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting. At the same time, from a cross-sectional perspective, both the portfolio analysis and the Fama-Macbeth regression show that the partial least squares results are a better indicator of returns than other indices. The driving force of the sentiment index we construct comes from investors’ perceptions of forecast cash ffow, discount rate, and volatility.
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Xueyan Hu; Hongyu Li; Linghao Zhang Investor Sentiment Index Based on Prospect Theory: Evidence from China (2023年12月19日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/15457.html

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