所属栏目:银行与金融机构/房地产金融

Dynamics and Impact Mechanisms of China'S Stock and Real Estate Market Correlation in Different Economic Cycle Period
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发布日期:2024年04月07日 上次修订日期:2024年04月07日

摘要

This paper aims to empirically explore the cyclical attributes of dynamic correlation shifts between the stock and real estate market, and the factors that influence this correlation during different periods of the economic cycle. Our research uncovers a significant structural shift in the correlation towards the end of 2012. By taking into account macroeconomic growth, regulatory policies, financial market conditions, and developments within both the stock and real estate markets, we investigate the time-varying characteristics of these factors' influence. The results highlight the pronounced cyclical asymmetry of these influential factors. Currently, the wealth effect in China's stock and real estate markets has significantly diminished, and the credit-price effect has vanished. A marked seesaw relationship is evident between the two markets. This outcome supports that various restrictions imposed on the real estate market have reduced its investment appeal.
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Yi Ding; Zhansheng Chen; Jiahui Xing Dynamics and Impact Mechanisms of China'S Stock and Real Estate Market Correlation in Different Economic Cycle Period (2024年04月07日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/15621

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