所属栏目:资本市场/政府政策与监管

The Optimality of Gradualism in Economies with Financial Markets
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发布日期:2025年07月17日 上次修订日期:2025年07月17日

摘要

We develop a model economy with active financial markets in which a policymaker's adoption of a gradualistic approach constitutes a Bayesian Nash equilibrium. In our model, the ex ante policy proposal influences the supply side of the economy, while the ex post policy action affects the demand side and shapes market equilibrium. When choosing policies, the policymaker internalizes the impact of her decisions on the precision of the firm-value signal. Moreover, financial markets provide a price signal that informs the government. The policymaker learns about the productivity shocks not only from firm-value performance signals but also from financial market prices. Access to information through both channels creates strong incentives for the policymaker to adopt a gradualistic approach in a time-consistent manner. Smaller policy steps yield more precise information about the productivity shock. These results hold robustly for both exogenous and endogenous information models.
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Hao Li; Gaowang Wang(王高望) The Optimality of Gradualism in Economies with Financial Markets (2025年07月17日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/16337.htm

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