所属栏目:资本市场/市场微观结构

Multiscale Spillovers and Herding Effects in the Chinese Stock Market: Evidence from High Frequency Data
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发布日期:2025年11月02日 上次修订日期:2025年11月02日

摘要

Based on 5-minute high-frequency trading data, we examine the time-varying causal relationship between herding behavior and multiscale spillovers (return, volatility, skewness, and kurtosis) in the Chinese stock market. We employ the novel time-varying Granger causality test proposed by Shi et al. (2018), which is based on the recursive evolving algorithm developed by Phillips et al. (2015a, 2015b), to identify real-time causal relationships and capture possible changes in the causal direction. Our findings reveal a strong relationship between herding and spillover effects, particularly with odd-moment (return and skewness) spillovers. For most of the study period, a bidirectional causal relationship was found between herding and odd-moment spillovers. These results imply that herding behavior is a key driver of spillover effects, especially return and skewness spillovers, which are primarily transmitted through the information channel. By contrast, volatility and kurtosis spillovers are more strongly driven by real and financial linkages. Furthermore, spillover effects also affect herding behavior, highlighting the intricate feedback loop between investor behavior and risk transmission.
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Chengyao Xie; Heguang Zhao; Xie He Multiscale Spillovers and Herding Effects in the Chinese Stock Market: Evidence from High Frequency Data (2025年11月02日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/16440

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