所属栏目:资本市场/资产定价

DOI号:10.2139/ssrn.5981095

摘要

We develop a deep-visualization framework for timing the factor zoo. Historical factor return trajectories are converted to two complementary image representations, which are then learned by convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to generate factor-specific timing signals. Using 206 equity factors, our CNN-based forecasts deliver significant economic gains: timed factors earn an average annualized alpha of about 6\%, and a high-minus-low strategy yields an annualized Sharpe ratio of 1.22. The outperformance is robust to transaction costs, post-publication decay, and factor category-level analysis. Interpretability analyses reveal that CNNs extract predictive signals from path boundaries and regime shifts, capturing patterns orthogonal to investor attention.
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贾越珵; 李隽业; 张宏宇; 赵姜宇 Timing the Factor Zoo via Deep Visualization (2026年03月16日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/16618.html

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