所属栏目:资本市场/资产定价

摘要

We document a novel "news extrapolation" behavior among investors, which distorts the market reaction to corporate news. Specifically, investors tend to extrapolate the value of past news in the immediate reaction to the newly arrived news. News extrapolation generates a biased price reaction to news, which is completely reversed afterwards. Furthermore, the tendency of news extrapolation is related to the recency, consistency, and value uncertainty of news. Investors extrapolate not only from news of the same category but also from news of different categories. By analyzing the trading behavior and sentiment of different investor groups, we find that retail investors tend to be news extrapolators, while institutional investors trade against the news extrapolators.
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Hong Xiang; Jiaxing Tian; Xinyi Shao; Xin Liu Extrapolation and Market Reactions to News (2026年03月29日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/16649.html

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