This paper examines the spillover effects of China’s Carbon Emissions Trading Scheme (CETS) on non-regulated firms’ bank loans. Using a sample of Chinese A-share listed firms and a staggered difference-in-differences design, we find that suppliers experience a significant decline in bank loans when their customers are included in the CETS. This effect is driven by reductions in firms’ cash flow and customer concentration. The negative effect of downstream CETS on suppliers’ bank loans is attenuated for suppliers with better environmental performance, more comprehensive carbon disclosure, and closer geographic proximity to customers. We also find that, in response to
reduced bank credit, firms rely more heavily on trade credit. Overall, this study sheds new light on the unintended financial consequences of CETS policy on non-regulated firms.
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