所属栏目:资本市场/资产定价

Global Production Networks and Asset Prices
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发布日期:2026年09月22日 上次修订日期:2026年09月22日

摘要

We identify choke points in global production networks as industries bridging flows across global value chains. These industries exhibit low substitutability: US firms exposed to Chinese choke points during the 2022 Covid-19 lockdowns experienced large and persistent sales declines. The Red Sea crisis demonstrates how negative shocks to water transport, a single choke point, propagate throughout the global network. This structural fragility is priced in global stock markets: firms in choke point industries earn annualized benchmark-adjusted returns exceeding 6%. The premium compensates for aggregate consumption risk, as downturns in choke point industries predict lower future US and global consumption growth.
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Teodor Dyakov; Hao Jiang Global Production Networks and Asset Prices (2026年09月22日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/16875.html

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