所属栏目:资本市场/外汇市场与汇率

DOI号:https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22953371

Tariff News and RMB-Relative Repricing: Beyond the Yen Benchmark
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发布日期:2026年09月25日 上次修订日期:2026年09月25日

摘要

I distinguish renminbi movements against the dollar from renminbi-relative repricing around U.S. tariff announcements. Across 26 policy groups, offshore renminbi (CNH) minus a fixed four-currency basket averages 35.077 aligned log basis points. Official reference rates corroborate the relative pattern; pre-event factor adjustment leaves a positive pooled own-CNH residual. Earlier disclosures change the later-period own-CNH sign, while early-to-late attenuation persists. Own-currency event-minus-lead contrasts remain imprecise, and macro-news and dependence screens weaken precision. The evidence supports an RMB-relative association, not a uniformly timed causal depreciation response or verified executable offshore prices.
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Feng Shaokun Tariff News and RMB-Relative Repricing: Beyond the Yen Benchmark (2026年09月25日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/16879.html

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