详情
Enter the Dragon: Interactions between Chinese, US and Asia‐Pacific Equity Markets, 1995‐2010
This paper applies a variety of short‐run and long‐run time series techniques to data on a broad
group of Asia‐Pacific stock markets and the United States extending to 2010. Our empirical work
confirms the importance of crises in affecting the persistence of equity returns in the Asia‐Pacific
region and offers some support for contagion effects. Post‐Asian financial crisis quantile
regressions yield substantial evidence of long‐run linkages between the Shanghai market, the US
market and many regional exchanges. Cointegration is particularly prevalent at the higher end of
the distribution. Our results suggest that the enormous growth of the Shanghai market in the new
millennium has been accompanied by a meaningful level of integration with other regional and
world markets in spite of ongoing capital controls.