CARR

  • 详情 Auctions vs Negotiations under Corruption: Evidence from Land Sales in China
    This study investigates whether corruption differentially affects contracting through auctions and negotiations. Using data on Chinese land-market transactions, where corruption is known to be present, we first show that, on average, it exerts similar effects on transactions carried out via auctions and negotiation. However, this finding masks important heterogeneity – auctions featuring healthy competition are less affected by corruption, and significantly less so than negotiation. We then develop a simple model of bidding under the possibility of corruption that rationalizes our findings.
  • 详情 Live in Peace and Contentment: A Housing Perspective
    This paper comprehensively examines how subjective well-being (SWB) is influenced by various aspects of housing — tenure, living conditions, and housing values — based on an individual panel from the China Household Finance Survey. We employ a two-way fixed effects model to reduce the endogeneity problems of housing choices. Our findings suggest that housing plays a comparable role to income and wealth in SWB and that housing inequality and living experience both matter a great deal. Moreover, the positive impacts of home ownership on SWB reported by prior research are likely quality of life effects masked in home ownership. Results are robust to ordered logistic estimation with individual fixed effects. What we document carries important implications for housing policies, and these are generalizable to other countries.
  • 详情 Research on the Path of China's Manufacturing ValueChain Improvement in the Era of Digital Intelligene
    Service oriented manufacturing is a new industrial form that integrates manufacturing and service development in the process of industrialization. In the era of digital economy, developing service-oriented manufacturing is an important way to strengthen the core competitiveness of the manufacturing industry, an important measure to expand domestic demand strategy, and an inevitable requirement to reshape the manufacturing value chain, enhance the resilience of the industrial chain, and promote the transformation of the manufacturing industry from large to strong. The article elaborates on the driving force for enterprises to carry out service-oriented manufacturing, which comes from fierce market competition, customer heterogeneity, and customer demand for complete solutions; Analyzed the mechanism and path of service-oriented manufacturing in the digital economy era, pointed out that digital empowers the transformation of the manufacturing industry, and promotes the global value chain climb of China's manufacturing industry; The article points out that changing from B2C to C2B is a fundamental disruption to the operational logic of the manufacturing industry; Analyzed the new characteristics and trends of service-oriented manufacturing such as personalized customization and product lifecycle management, and elaborated that lifecycle management is the high-end of the manufacturing value chain in the digital economy era. Chinese manufacturing enterprises should accelerate their transformation and strive to climb towards the high-end of the manufacturing value chain; Introduced the practices of companies such as Rolls Royce, Siemens, General Electric, and Sany Group in product lifecycle management. It is pointed out that adding high-quality, efficient, and differentiated services to industrial products is of great significance for enterprises to achieve differentiated competition and climb the global value chain of China's manufacturing industry.
  • 详情 Mind the Gap: Is There a Trading Break Equity Premium?
    This paper investigates the intertemporal relation between expected aggregate stock market returns and conditional variance considering periodic trading breaks. We propose a modified version of Merton’s intertemporal asset pricing model that merges two different processes driving asset prices, (i) a continuous process modeling diffusive risk during the trading day and, (ii) a discontinuous process modeling overnight price changes of random magnitude. Relying on high-frequency data, we estimate distinct premia for diffusive trading volatility and volatility induced by overnight jumps. While diffusive trading volatility plays a minor role in explaining the expected market risk premium, overnight jumps carry a significant risk premium and establish a positive risk-return trade-off. Our study thereby contributes to the ongoing debate on the sign of the intertemporal risk-return relation.
  • 详情 The Diversification Benefits and Policy Risks of Accessing China's Stock Market
    China's stock market (the "A share market'') has a lower correlation with the global market and is less affected by international financial contagions than any other major economy. The inclusion of mainland China stocks into an international portfolio increases its Sharpe ratio. However, we find that Chinese stocks providing the most diversification benefits also carry the most policy risk for international investors. Holding Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong does not reap the same diversification benefits. While global market integration and the increase in foreign ownership can diminish diversification benefits, mainland China stocks still provide valuable diversification opportunities for international investors up till the most recent time in late 2010s.
  • 详情 Empirical Analysis on corporate governance effect of share spilt reform
    This paper surveys how and why the share spilt reform enhance the corporate governance using agency cost as proxy from the perspective of stockholders’ conflict and liquidity increase in the process of share spilt reform respectively. We find that share spilt reform brings significant governance improvement. Besides, we use some governance effect and liquidity theory proposed by Edmans et al. (2011) to testify by which means the share split reform enhance the corporate governance. What is more, we find that the corporations with great difficulty, which represented for severe shareholders’ conflict, in carrying forward the reform tend to have severe governance problems while it was this kind of corporation that benefited most from the reform and formed the main driving force of the realization of the goal of reform. It has some implication on China’s current reform; that is, only when toughest problems have been overcome will the goal of reform be achieved.
  • 详情 Should We Fear an Adverse Collateral Effect on Investment in China?
    Working with unique data on land values in 35 major Chinese markets and a panel of firms outside the real estate industry, we estimate standard investment equations that yield no evidence of a collateral channel effect. This is markedly different from previous work on the United States and Japan which finds economically large impacts. One reason for this appears to be that some of the most dominant firms in China are state-owned enterprises (SOEs) which are unconstrained in the sense that they do not need to rely on rising underlying property collateral values to obtain all the financing necessary to carry out their desired investment programs. However, we also find no collateral channel effect for non-SOEs when we perform our analysis on disaggregated sets of firms. Norms and regulation in the Chinese capital markets and banking sector can account for why there is no collateral channel effect operating among these firms. We caution that our results do not mean that there will be no negative fallout from a potential real estate bust on the Chinese economy. There are good reasons to believe there would be, just not through a collateral channel effect.
  • 详情 对江苏省企业人民币计价出口决定要因的实证研究
       计价货币(Invoice Currency)是国际货币(International Currency)在私人部门作为价值基础的重要职能,其在国际贸易中的结算比率也是判断某种货币国际化程度的重要指标之一。本文根据既有的计价货币选择理论,在对96家江苏省出口企业进行问卷调查的基础上,通过构建Probit个体二分变量计量模型,在价格政策制定这一微观层面上对企业以人民币计价出口的决定要因进行了详细的实证研究。实证分析表明:企业类型为跨国公司关联企业或出口加工型企业、企业出口产品为半成品的,与企业以人民币计价出口呈显著或较为显著的正相关关系;而企业出口地为美国或欧元区国家以及其他发达国家的,则与之呈较为显著的负相关关系。这一结果表明:从促进人民币国际化的角度来看,有必要进一步开放人民币的资本项目的管制,方便跨国公司一类企业进行一定的人民币理财活动,促使其使用人民币计价结算。此外,在货币之间的国际化及国际货币化是否存在有排他性竞争关系明确之前,有必要对其他国家货币的国际化或国际货币化保持警惕。 Invoice Currency is one of the important functions of international currency as a value basis in the private sector。The ratio of one currency as a settlement currency in international trade is also an important index of its degree of internationalization. According to the existing theories of the invoicing currency choice,and on the basis of a questionnaire survey of 96 export enterprises in Jiangsu Province, this paper builds a bivariate probit model with sample selection. From the perspective of price policy making, this article carries out a detailed empirical study on the determinants of the enterprises in RMB-denominated export. The empirical analysis shows that some enterprises have significant positive correlation with RMB-denominated export while others have negative correlation. The formers are enterprises with types of multinational affiliates or export processing enterprises, and with exporting products of the semi-finished products; while the latters are enterprises exporting to the United States, the euro-zone countries or other developed countries. This result suggests that when considering promoting the internationalization of the RMB, the capital control in China should be further released. Therefore, if multinational enterprises could carry out RMB financing, they would promote the use of RMB in trade invoicing and as a settlement currency. In addition, it's not clear whether an exclusive competition exists between the currencies that are in their paths of internationalization and becoming an international currencies. So, it's necessary to remain vigilant on other countries' currency internationalization or the internationalization of the currency.
  • 详情 Intraday Dynamics of Volatility and Duration: Evidence from Chinese Stocks
    We propose a new joint model of intraday returns and durations to study the dynamics of several Chinese stocks. We include IBM from the U.S. market for comparison purposes. Flexible innovation distributions are used for durations and returns, and the total variance of returns is decomposed into different volatility components associated with different transaction horizons. Our new model strongly dominates existing specifications in the literature. The conditional hazard functions are non-monotonic and there is strong evidence for different volatility components. Although diurnal patterns, volatility components, and market microstructure implications are similar across the markets, there are interesting differences. Durations for lightly traded Chinese stocks tend to carry more information than heavily traded stocks. Chinese investors usually have longer investment horizons, which may be explained by the specific trading rules in China.
  • 详情 The External Impact of China's Exchange Rate Policy: Evidence from Firm Level Data
    We examine the impact of renminbi revaluation on foreign firm valuations, considering two surprise announcements of changes in China’s exchange rate policy in 2005 and 2010 and employing data on some 6,000 firms in 44 economies. Stock returns rise with renminbi revaluation expectations. This reaction appears to reflect a combination of improvements in general market sentiment and specific trade effects. Expected renminbi appreciation has a positive effect on firms exporting to China but a negative impact on those providing inputs for the country’s processing exports. Stock prices rise for firms competing with China in their home market but fall for firms importing Chinese products with large imported-input content. There is also some evidence that expected renminbi appreciation reduces the valuation of financially-constrained firms, presumably because appreciation implies reduced Chinese purchases of foreign securities. The results carry over when we consider ten instances of market-perceived changes in prospective Chinese currency policy.