Credit Supply

  • 详情 Bargaining Power and Trade Credit: The Heterogeneous Effect of Credit Contractions
    High-bargaining-power (low-bargaining-power) customer (supplier) firms borrow (lend) more trade credit according to the literature. We study whether this bargaining power effect strengthens or weakens when the credit supply tightens. We construct a Nash bargaining model of trade credit and show that the bargaining power effect weakens if their financing costs increase more than that of the customers. We find support for our theory using a unique database of listed firms in China that discloses firms’ transaction information with important customers and suppliers. Interest-rate sensitive suppliers, proxied by a non-state ownership, a high debt rollover risk, and a high financial constraint index, reduce trade credit to their high-bargaining-power customers during credit contractions.
  • 详情 Not All Bank Liquidity Creation Boosts Prices ⎯ The Case of the US Housing Markets
    This paper is about investigating how different bank liquidity creation activities affect housing markets. Using data of 401 metropolitan statistical areas/metropolitan statistical area divisions (MSAs/MSADs) of the U.S. between 1990 and 2018, we show that not all bank liquidity creation activities boost the housing markets. In particular, unlike asset- side and off-balance sheet liquidity creations, funding-side liquidity creation dampens housing markets. The relationships between liquidity creation activities and housing markets are stronger in regions with inelastic house supply, but flip when banks face external liquidity shocks. We also find that housing markets dominated by large banks are more sensitive to off-balance sheet liquidity creation activities. Finally, as expected, asset-side and off-balance sheet liquidity creations boost housing markets by driving house prices away from fundamental values. Our results offer a more thorough explanation of how bank liquidity creation fuels the momentum of housing markets.
  • 详情 Do Suppliers Value Clients’ ESG Profiles? Evidence from Chinese Firms
    We investigate whether suppliers value their clients’ ESG profiles in China, the largest emerging market featured with low ESG awareness and severe agency problems. We find a robust and negative impact of Chinese firms’ ESG scores on their access to trade credit. The 2SLS regression results based on the instrumental variable indicate that the impact is casual. Additionally, the impact is more pronounced for firms with higher agency costs, greater information asymmetry, and worse financial performance. These results suggest that suppliers in China view clients’ ESG engagement as costly investments caused by agency problems. Finally, we highlight the economic importance of the impact by showing that trade credit access helps Chinese firms decrease debt costs, increase trade credit supply to downstream firms, and promote R&D inputs.
  • 详情 Does Legal Enforcement Matter for Financial Risks? The Case of Strategic
    In a frictionless market where  rms can always raise capital, debtors default only if their total assets cannot cover their total liabilities. However, in the presence of market imperfection, debtors may default even while solvent if the cost of new capital outweighs the legal penalty on contract violation. Using a unique sample of Chinese bank loans over the period 2007-2012, we analyze the repayment decisions of borrowing rms whose cash holdings are high enough to cover the bank debt coming due. We  nd that poor legal enforcement signi cantly increases the likelihood of default. This positive association becomes stronger if  rms face tighter  nancing constraints, or when credit supply becomes more scarce. Our results illustrate the role of legal enforcement in determining  nancial risks and show that market imperfection strengthening the impact of legal enforcement on  nancial risks.
  • 详情 The Consequences of Mortgage Credit Expansion: Evidence from the 2007 Mortgage Default Crisis
    We conduct a within-county analysis using detailed zip code level data to document new findings regarding the origins of the biggest financial crisis since the Great Depression. The recent sharp increase in mortgage defaults is significantly amplified in subprime zip codes that experience an unprecedented relative growth in mortgage credit from 2002 to 2005. This expansion in mortgage credit to subprime zip codes occurs despite sharply declining relative (and in some cases absolute) income growth in these neighborhoods. In fact, 2002 to 2005 is the only period in the last 18 years when income and mortgage credit growth are negatively correlated. We show that the expansion in mortgage credit to subprime zip codes and its dissociation from income growth is closely correlated with the increase in securitization of subprime mortgages. Finally, we show that all of our key findings hold in markets with very elastic housing supply that have low house price growth during the credit expansion years. Overall, our findings favor a supply-based explanation for credit expansion over income-based or house price expectations-based hypotheses.