详情
我国A 股市场中的波动性之谜与市场情绪
In this paper,we analyse whether the Chinese A share stock markets exhibit excess volatility by
employing the VAR methodology based on log-linear RVF of Campbell&Shiller(1989). According to the
research result, relative to the intrinsic value implied by dividends,Chinese A share stock markets always
exhibit excessive voltility for the period of 1994 to 2009. It is difficult to explain the stock market
volatility puzzle of China's stock market , no matter we run constant excess return model or V-CAPM
model. We try to explain the reasons by studying the stock market sentiment index, and find evidence of an
interaction mechanism between investor sentiment and excess volatility. And One more meaningful result
is that adding the stock market sentiment index to our model can provide extra explanatory power for the
excess volatility of the stock market.