In this paper, real and financial linkage is to be investigated. We focus on six typical stock markets after time zone effect taken into consideration. We select monthly annual CPI rate as transition variable in Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation CARR (named STCC-CARR for short) model to scrutinize interdependence among international stock markets. As it is testified, correlations among them are fluctuant with different inflation cycles and could not be ignored arbitrarily. The highest correlations come out between countries when both are in contractionary phase, while the lowest correlations do when both are in expansionary phase.

We examine the effect of illiquidity discount on stock prices on the warrants prices in China. We construct measures of liquidity based on market microstructure models, and find that they explain a significant portion of the cross-section variation in the warrants pricing biases and implied stock discounts in the market. We conclude that, due to the T+1 rule in Chinese stock market, equity market is illiquid relative to the warrants market that doesn’t bear the T+1 rule. This imposed illiquidity cause the discount on the stock price, which is not reflected in the warrants market. Thus the illiquidity in stock market contributes to the pricing bias in warrants market.

This paper investigates the impact of macro variables on the volatility of bond returns. Using the principal components analysis, we extract the “real” and “money” factors from the real activities and monetary variables, respectively. Following Campbell, Lettau, Malkiel, and Xu (2001), we decompose the bond volatility into market-level volatility and maturity volatility. Using the daily returns on the 1-, 5-, 10- and 30-year US treasury bonds, we find that the macro factors significantly affect the bond volatility. In particular, the “real” factor affects the bond volatility of all maturities while the monetary variables are significantly related to the volatility of short-term bonds and weakly related to the volatility of medium-term bonds.

We examine the independent and dominating effects of the liquidity level, the information asymmetry and the divergence of opinion on asset returns in an important emerging market, Chinese stock market. We use the variable ILLIQ from Amihud (2002) to proxy for the liquidity level, the variable PIN from Easley, Hvidkjaer, and O'Hara (2002) to proxy for the information asymmetry and the variable OBS based on Nas and Skjeltorp (2006) to proxy for the divergence of opinion. We find striking evidence that stocks with a higher liquidity level, or a lower information asymmetry, or a higher divergence of opinion, experience significantly lower excess returns. More importantly, the explanatory power of the liquidity level on asset returns may only reflect those from the information asymmetry and the divergence of opinion. Moreover, we find no evidence on the dominating effect between the information asymmetry and the divergence of opinion when examining their impact on asset returns.

When the government is simultaneously the owner and regulator of the securities market, the evolution of securities market regulation follows a path of compulsory institutional change. China’s government authorities have played a dual role in this process by acting both as the securities market regulator and the controlling owner of the stock exchanges. This paper uses the evolution of China’s securities market regulation from 1980 to 2007 to illustrate this theoretical framework. It provides unique evidence of how securities regulation evolves in response to government direction and supervision if the government is both the owner and the regulator of the securities market.

Using a sample of China’s partially privatized state-owned enterprises (SOEs) that have emerged in the global equity markets, this paper examines the decision to list overseas and its consequences. We find that overseas listing of Chinese SOEs is primarily determined by political needs, not by firms’ desire to fund growth and expand foreign sales. In addition, we find that overseas listed SOEs have more professional boards of directors, use greater accounting conservatism, exhibit higher investment efficiency, and have better one-year and two-year post-listing stock performance than their domestically listed counterparts. Additional analysis exploring the impact of political relations on overseas listing effects finds that strong political connections weaken the overseas listing effect on investment efficiency and post-listing stock performance, consistent with the positive overseas listing effect on investment efficiency being attenuated by government influence to satisfy state objectives such as excess employment. Taken together, our study suggests that overseas listing provides a mechanism for constraining politicians’ pursuit of private benefits and improving efficiency for partially privatized Chinese SOEs. However, the effectiveness of this mechanism is limited for SOEs with strong ties to the government.

The supposed undervaluation of the renminbi has been the subject of intensive academic research over the past few years. Using equilibrium exchange rate models (Purchasing Power Parity, BEER and FEER), many authors have concluded that the renminbi is undervalued by 15 to 30% against the dollar. This article shows that the common view is not that obvious. The models used in the estimation (BEER or FEER) assume that the economy is at full-employment, a strong hypothesis for developing economies such as China, whose unemployed amount to 150 million people. On the contrary, we show that China is facing massive unemployment and if investment depends on expected potential demand (from domestic consumption and foreign demand), then an undervalued exchange rate (by traditional standards) is suited for its policy objectives. Therefore the exchange rate can be analyzed as a policy tool used by the Chinese authorities to pursue their objectives. The exchange rate can be undervalued by traditional standards and in equilibrium compared to the government's policy objectives. This article shows that equilibrium exchange rate theories are not suited for developing countries and therefore the concept of equilibrium exchange rate is highly questionable. The final section analyzes the adoption of a managed float regime by the Popular Bank of China and discusses the delicate issue of the best exchange rate regime for China.

This paper is the first attempt in the literature to study the relationship between corporate governance and corporate growth. By developing an econometric model, this paper empirically studied the relationship between corporate governance and growth capability of China’s listed companies based on the panel data of 510 listed companies in Chinese manufacturing industry from the year 2001 to 2007. Main findings and contributions of this paper are as follows: ownership concentration is significantly negatively associated with growth capability; there is a significant negative relationship between equity restriction ratio and growth capability; growth capability of non-state-holding company is stronger than that of state-holding company, but this finding has no statistical significance; the stronger are debt solvency and debt financing ability, the stronger is growth capability; scale of board of directors and proportion of independent directors are significantly negatively associated with growth capability; combination of chairman of board of directors and CEO is beneficial for enhancing growth capability; management annual salary is significantly positively associated with growth capability; proportion of management shareholding has a negative relationship with growth capability, but this has no statistical significance; competition of market for corporate control and perfection degree of law basis and interest protection of medium-small investors are positively associated with growth capability, but these findings have no statistical significance; there is a significant positive relationship between product market competition and growth capability. Based on the above conclusions, this paper put forward some relevant policy recommendations from perspective of corporate governance for enhancing growth capability of Chinese listed companies.

前期研究试图用利率变量来解释股价和汇价联动，但经验分析难以获得证明和支持。随后又有大量文献研究各国股价联动或汇市之间联动，但涉及国家样本太少并且尚未获得一致的结论，难以说明这些结果具有普遍性质。Hyuk Choe et al. (1998)首次揭示了一个事实，那就是本土投资者在危机来临之前的抛售行为快于外国投资者，随后又有大量研究对此进行证明，但都是局限于从股市到股市的研究，极少涉及汇市与两国股市的联动。本研究采用了MGARCH模型（三元GARCH）证明了汇市与两国股市的联动。研究领域不再仅限于从股市到股市，而且两者之间的汇市也受其波及。本研究的结果证明：金融市场规模的不对称性会影响联动出现的显著性；地域和规模越接近，三者之间的联动效应就越强。这也证明了亚洲金融市场联动具有地域规模特征。

“并购论坛”是由中山大学管理学院发起举办的一次高水平并购国际学术会议。本次会议将于2009年11月14-15日在广州中山大学举办，主题为“价值创造、产业重组与经济安全”。全称为“Mergers and Acquisitions Forum 2009: Value Creation, Industry Restructure and Economic Safety”，主题是在经济学、金融学、工商管理等领域进行国际性的学术交流，内容涉及并购与价值创造、产业重组与产业升级、产业重组与经济转型、外资并购与经济安全等多方面。计划邀请来自美国、英国、新加坡等国家和香港、澳门、台湾等地区的20名左右国际学者参加。