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  • 详情 弹性汇率下资本控制对经济稳定性的影响
    We extend the research of Michael Frenkel and christiane Nickel (2001) and present a modified Dornbusch overshoot model to study the impacts of different control degree of different capital on price-exchange rate system with a microstructure in foreign exchange market in the steady state. It is found that the impact on the stability of price-exchange rate system is an alternative choice between saddle stability and entire stability.
  • 详情 Model Uncertainty, Limited Market Participation and Asset Prices
    We demonstrate that limited participation can arise endogenously in the presence of model uncertainty. Our model generates novel predictions on how limited participation relates to equity premium and diversification discount. When the dispersion in investors?model uncertainty is small, full participation prevails in equilibrium. In this case, equity premium is unrelated to model uncertainty dispersion and a conglomerate trades at a price equal to the sum of its single segment counterparts. When model uncertainty dispersion is large, however, investors with relatively high uncertainty optimally choose to stay sidelined in equilibrium. In this case, equity premium can decrease with model uncertainty dispersion. This is in sharp contrast to the understanding in the existing literature that limited participation leads to higher equity premium. Moreover, when limited participation occurs, a conglomerate trades at a discount relative to its single segment counterparts. The discount increases in model uncertainty dispersion and is positively related to the proportion of investors not participating in the markets.
  • 详情 The study summary of high-tech venture capital in China
    On the basis of analyzing the relative literatures,from the view of the origin of venture capital,the thesis summarizes the main theories and methods about the research of high-tech venture capital recently.Next,it summarizes progress of high-tech venture capital research,and points out some shortcomings of high-tech venture capital research in our country.Finally,it expounds some future directions on high-tech venture capital.
  • 详情 会计信息失真成因刍探
    摘 要 会计信息失真问题,现已成为我国会计界、经济界乃至我国政府面临的重大课题。它不仅影响到与企业有利益关系的投资者、债权人等群体的经济利益,而且影响到整个国家的经济秩序和社会秩序,为了探究失真的真正动因,本文从多层次多角度进行了论证。 本文先从会计信息的定义入手,对会计信息的界定作出了精辟的阐述,继而对失真作了逐级的分解,得出失真的标准。 然后用实证分析的方法从证券市场及国企等不同方面具体分析会计信息失真的深层次根源,并列举了两个案例进行佐证。 最后以纳什比衡的博奕理论结尾,再度从理论上和实际上总结出失真的根源。 ABSTRACT Accounting Information on Fraud is an important problem that our accounting field and economic field and our government must to face.Not only investors and creditors that are associated with enterprise’s advantages and disadvantages,but also all of the country’s economic order and public order are effected.In order to look into the real causes on Fraud ,this paper will expand and prove in many ways. At first I’ll discuss the meaning of on Accounting Information on Fraud.Then to resolve step by step and to obtain a standard on Fraud. Secondary,using cause study method to test in depth the origin that the security market’s and state enterprise’s Accounting Information on Fraud.And list two cases to proof. In the end,I’ll use John Nash’s the game theory on Fraud to summarize the origin on Fraud from the actual situation and theoretical again.
  • 详情 Asset Prices and Trading Volume Under Fixed Transactions Costs
    We propose a dynamic equilibrium model of asset prices and trading volume with heterogeneous agents facing fixed transactions costs. We show that even small fixed costs can give rise to large “no-trade” regions for each agent’s optimal trading policy and a significant illiquidity discount in asset prices. We perform a calibration exercise to illustrate the empirical relevance of our model for aggregate data. Our model also has implications for the dynamics of order flow, bid/ask spreads, market depth, the allocation of trading costs between buyers and sellers, and other aspects of market microstructure.
  • 详情 构建商业银行有效监管体系的若干思考
    Under the vested supervising system in China, this paper dissected the availability surveillance system from the surveillance environments, elements, institution and technology. According to Basel committee on baking supervision’s precondition, The author pondered these questions with economic thought, discussed the path and choice creating an availability supervision system of the Chinese commercial banks, to promote the banking supervising project scientific and harmonious going ahead.
  • 详情 外汇Q值原理
    〈外汇Q值原理〉学术成果摘要 外汇Q值是根据:本币、外币、物价、汇率的内在联系,而提出的一种新的外汇理论。该理论较合理地解释了现代金融危机:现代金融危机是货币的内外价值严重失衡,相互矛盾的结果,具体表现为具有方向性的通货膨胀。Q值公式能对现代金融危机进行计算、度量和预测,人们可据此采取有效的防治措施。 外汇Q值理论与现行的国际借贷说、购买力平价说、利率平价说相比,具有很大的理论优势和一些不可替代的长处。 外汇Q值理论能在任何时期,任意时段,真实地反映物价和汇率,理 论数据与实际情况完全一致。而上述的几种理论,有时候理论与实际偏离很远,甚至会出现无法解释的情况。 外汇Q值与其它很多重要经济数据成,正、负函数相关关系。如:进 出口额、失业率、产业结构、物价水平、出口利润、进口成本、货币供给、货币需求、通货膨胀率、利率变化、汇率变化……。是研究现代经济的有力工具。而上述与之相比的几种理论,很难实现和以上这些经济数据的函数联系 金本位制度下有一条重要的法则,即:两国汇率变化超越一定的值,黄金就会在两国之间流动,人们称这个值为黄金输送点,黄金输送点本身就是一项单项外汇q值的具体值,现代信用货币的外汇Q值,没有了黄金流动的约束,变化幅度更大,更复杂,对经济影响更强烈,更广泛罢了。 2001年,我撰写完成了《外汇Q值原理》一文,经专家推荐入编〈中国当代思想宝库〉一书。第三卷429页。2003年被“中国首界教育创新论坛”评为优秀论文一等奖。至今国内、国外有多种文献和书籍将该文编入出版。 作者:耿达明 宅电:0732―8524925 湖南省湘潭市岳塘区东泗路138号202 邮编:411104 E-mail: xtddma@sina.com
  • 详情 Managing CRM in China Sate-owned Commercial Bank
    In the increasingly competitive global financial world, Customer relationship Management (CRM) has played an increasingly important role in financial service industry that can help China State-owned Commercial Bank establish a unique long-term relationship with their customers. The paper is trying to a pilot study; aims to find out how CRM increasing customer relationships and profitability in China State-owned Commercial Bank, and the feasible solution of the key problem in China State-owned Bank. It is necessary to identify the Chinese customers’ perceptions regarding CRM practice, and the main issue Chinese State-owned Commercial Bank properties, and then propose strategies accordingly. Main finding in this dissertation is that CRM can give China State-owned Commercial Bank a valuable and competitive resource?understanding customer behavior, improving customer service. CRM is a new technology to meet the requirements of the consumer financial services market in China. CRM can help China State-owned Commercial Bank know organization’s target marketing, customers tend, and finding good valuable customer. The benefit for China State-owned Commercial Bank driving CRM is to fit highest-value customers to fulfill their business benefit.
  • 详情 中国加入WTO:不可逆决策的金融经济学分析(China’s accession to the WTO: A financial economic analysis of an ir
    本文首先建立两部门内生增长开放经济的动态模型,然后在此基础上将其发展为一个中国加入世贸组织的不可逆性决策的随机微分数学模型。通过求出该随机问题的最优解,从而得出中国加入世贸的最佳时机,同时也讨论了加快或减慢中国入世的相关因素。 This paper develops a simple theoretical open economy model to analysis the irreversible decision of China’s accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO). From the optimal solution of a stochastic differential equation based on the option theory in financial economics, it derived the optimal timing for China’s entry into the WTO and discussed what factors that may speed up or slow down the entry.
  • 详情 Endogenous Retirement, Endogenous Labor Supply, and Wealth Shocks
    This paper answers the following question posed by Richard Roll: Should one work less, or perhaps retire early, if her stock portfolio performs well? We show that in a standard life-cycle model the answer to both questions is yes. We solve explicitly for the endogenous retirement time and labor supply. We nd that human capital acts like a portfolio of European put options on stock. The agent's labor choice can be characterized by four regions (categorized according to the nancial wealth of the agent at a given time): retire, vacation, work, and work-forever. We show that for a constant wage when the agent's stock performs well, she will work less and retire earlier. We also nd that poorer people (those whose stock returns are worse) should 1)-invest less of their wealth in stock, and 2)-borrow heavily when their stock does badly. We nd that the conditional volatility of labor income is hump-shaped as a function of the stock price. An agent will invest fewer dollars in the stock market when she has no future labor income.