Factor Investing

  • 详情 Beyond Prompting: An Autonomous Framework for Systematic Factor Investing via Agentic AI
    This paper develops an autonomous framework for systematic factor investing via agentic AI. Rather than relying on sequential manual prompts, our approach operationalizes the model as a self-directed engine that endogenously formulates interpretable trading signals. To mitigate data snooping biases, this closed-loop system imposes strict empirical discipline through out-of-sample validation and economic rationale requirements. Applying this methodology to the U.S. equity market, we document that long-short portfolios formed on the simple linear combination of signals deliver an annualized Sharpe ratio of 2.75 and a return of 54.81%. Finally, our empirics demonstrate that self-evolving AI offers a scalable and interpretable paradigm.
  • 详情 On Cross-Stock Predictability of Peer Return Gaps in China
    While many studies document cross-stock predictability where returns of some stocks predict returns of other similar stocks, most evidence comes from US markets. Following Chen et al. (2019), we identify peer firms based on historical return similarity and construct a Peer Return Gap (PRG) measure, defined as the difference between a stock’s lagged return and its peers’ returns. Our empirical evidence from Chinese markets shows that past-return-linked peers strongly predict focal firm returns. A long-short portfolio sorted on PRG generates an equal-weighted monthly return of 1.26% (t = 3.81) and a Fama-French five-factor alpha of 1.10% (t = 2.86). These abnormal returns remain unexplained by several alternative factor models.
  • 详情 Lottery Preference for Factor Investing in China’s A-Share Market
    Using a comprehensive factor zoo, we document a notable factor MAX premium in the Chinese market. Factors with high maximum daily returns consistently outperform those with low maximum returns by 0.82% per month in the future, on a risk-adjusted basis. This premium remains robust controlling for various factor characteristics, and is not sensitive to the selection of factors. The factor MAX anomaly stands apart from lottery-type stock anomalies and contributes to elucidate most of these anomalies. The factor MAX premium concentrates in high-eigenvalue principal component factors, shedding light on the prevalent lottery preferences for factor investing in China’s A-share market. We document pronounced existence of factor MAX anomaly in the United States and other G7 countries.
  • 详情 Factor MAX and Lottery Preferences in China’s A-Share Market
    Using a comprehensive factor zoo, we document a notable factor MAX premium in the Chinese market. Factors with high maximum daily returns consistently outperform those with low maximum returns by 0.82% per month in the future, on a risk-adjusted basis. This premium remains robust controlling for various factor characteristics, and is not sensitive to the selection of factors. The factor MAX anomaly stands apart from lottery-type stock anomalies and contributes to elucidate most of these anomalies. The factor MAX premium concentrates in high-eigenvalue principal component factors, shedding light on the prevalent lottery preferences for factor investing in China’s A-share market.