详情
Has Chinese Stock Market Become Efficient?Evidence from a New Approach
Using a new statistical procedure suitable to test efficient market hypothesis in presence
of volatility clustering, we find significant evidence against the weak form of efficient market
hypothesis for both Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, although they have become more
efficient at the later stage. We also find that Share A markets are more efficient than Share
B markets, but there is no clear evidence on which stock market, Shanghai or Shenzhen, is
more efficient. These findings are robust to volatility clustering, a key feature of high-frequency
financial time series. They have important implications on predictability of stock returns and
on efficacy of capital asset pricing and allocation in Chinese economy.