empirical evidence

  • 详情 Economic Policy Uncertainty and Mergers Between Companies Facing Different Levels of Financing Constraints: Evidence From China
    This paper examines how economic policy uncertainty (EPU) affects mergers and acquisitions (M&As) between companies with different levels of financing constraints. Existing literature overlooks the interactive effect of EPU and financing constraints on M&As, and empirical evidence regarding EPU's influence on financially constrained firms remains limited. China's unique ownership structure provides a valuable context for this analysis, as state-owned enterprises (SOEs) face fewer financing constraints than private firms. Using a 2007-2021 sample of Chinese listed state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and private companies, we find that high EPU decreases the likelihood of private firms acquiring SOEs, while increases the likelihood of private firms being acquired by SOEs. These results suggest that under high EPU, financially constrained firms experience greater survival pressure, limiting their capacity to alleviate constraints by acquiring less-constrained targets. Conversely, less-constrained firms enhance their bargaining power and are more likely to acquire financially stressed counterparts. EPU facilitates control transfers from high-constraint to low-constraint firms, contributing to long-term market returns and improving financial market allocation efficiency. Our study contributes to the literature by shedding light on how EPU shapes divergent M&A behaviors based on firms’ financing constraints.
  • 详情 Buying from a Friend? A Cautionary Tale of Introducing Friendship Information to Support Online Transactions
    While observational studies have long suggested a positive correlation between social relationships and online transactions, surprisingly little research demonstrates a causal link. Effects identified in observational data generally conflate the Information effect, which bears the counterfactual causal interpretation, with the Homophily/environment effect. Against this background, this study conducted a pioneering a randomized field experiment design to isolate the Information effect of friendship disclosure from confounding homophily factors. We exploit a rare opportunity to conduct a field experiment on a large Chinese online second-hand platform, in which we manipulate buyer and seller’s awareness of their preexisting friendship ties. We provide the first empirical evidence that the effect of revealing friendship information between transaction parties turns out to be insignificant. We demonstrate that reliance on observational estimates of the “total effect” of friendship significantly overstates the benefits of providing friendship information in online marketplaces. Our findings contribute to a better understanding of social commerce and highlight the potential fallacy of relying on observational data in business studies.
  • 详情 Incentives Innovation in Listed Companies: Empirical Evidence from China's Economic Value-Added Reform
    Innovation is crucial for long-term corporate value and competitive advantage; however, it can misalign the interests of managers and investors. Balancing managers’ short- and long-term goals is a pivotal challenge in promoting innovation incentives. Therefore, this study examines innovative incentives for managers of publicly traded firms to address the issue of agency problems. The study focuses on economic value-added (EVA) reform implemented by China’s State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC), which encourages EVA-driven R&D investments as the primary management metric. The policy effectively motivates key corporate managers by reducing capital costs and stimulating increased innovation. Following this policy’s implementation, notable innovation disparities exist between state-owned enterprises and firms not subject to the reform. Furthermore, innovation incentives significantly affect overconfident company managers, yielding positive effects on innovation.
  • 详情 On Cross-Stock Predictability of Peer Return Gaps in China
    While many studies document cross-stock predictability where returns of some stocks predict returns of other similar stocks, most evidence comes from US markets. Following Chen et al. (2019), we identify peer firms based on historical return similarity and construct a Peer Return Gap (PRG) measure, defined as the difference between a stock’s lagged return and its peers’ returns. Our empirical evidence from Chinese markets shows that past-return-linked peers strongly predict focal firm returns. A long-short portfolio sorted on PRG generates an equal-weighted monthly return of 1.26% (t = 3.81) and a Fama-French five-factor alpha of 1.10% (t = 2.86). These abnormal returns remain unexplained by several alternative factor models.
  • 详情 Adverse Selection and Overnight Returns: Information-Based Pricing Distortions Under China’s "T+1" Trading
    Contrary to the US, Chinese stock markets exhibit negative overnight returns that appear to be highly affected by the extent of information asymmetry. China's "T+1" trading rule, which prohibits same-day selling, exacerbates adverse selection for uninformed buyers by limiting them to react to post-trade information. An information asymmetry-driven price discount thus emerges at market open, generating negative overnight returns, which further decrease with information asymmetry. Consistent with adverse selection, empirical evidence reveals lower overnight returns during market declines and high-volatility periods, with robust negative relationship between overnight returns and information asymmetry proxied by firm size, analyst coverage, and earnings announcement proximity. A model is introduced to rationalize our findings. This framework also sheds light on China's "opening return puzzle", the phenomenon that prices rise rapidly in the initial 30 minutes of trading, by showing how reduced adverse selection enables rapid price recovery during opening session.
  • 详情 Heterogeneous Effects of Artificial Intelligence Orientation and Application on Enterprise Green Emission Reduction Performance
    How enterprises can leverage frontier technologies to achieve synergy between environmental governance and high-quality development has become a critical issue amid the deepening global push for sustainable development and the green economic transition. Based on micro-level data of Chinese enterprises from 2009 to 2023, this study systematically examines the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on corporate green governance performance and explores the underlying mechanisms. The findings reveal that AI significantly enhances green governance performance at the enterprise level, and this effect remains robust after accounting for potential endogeneity. Mechanism analysis shows that AI empowers green transformation through a dual-path mechanism of “cognition–behavior,” by strengthening environmental tendency and increasing environmental investment. Further heterogeneity analysis indicates that the positive effects are more pronounced in nonheavy polluting industries and state-owned enterprises, suggesting that industry characteristics and ownership structure moderate the green governance impact of AI. This study contributes to the theoretical foundation of research at the intersection of digital technology and green governance, and provides empirical evidence and policy insights to support AI-driven green transformation in practice.
  • 详情 Tracing the Green Footprint: The Evolution of Corporate Environmental Disclosure Through Deep Learning Models
    Environmental disclosure in emerging markets remains poorly understood, despite its critical role in sustainability governance. Here, we analyze 42,129 firm-year environmental disclosures from 4,571 Chinese listed firms (2008-2022) using machine learning techniques to characterize disclosure patterns and regulatory responses. We show that increased disclosure volume primarily comprises boilerplate content rather than material information. Cross-sectional analyses reveal systematic variations across industries, with manufacturing and high-pollution sectors exhibiting more comprehensive disclosures than consumer and technology sectors. Notably, regional rankings in environmental disclosure volume do not align with local economic development levels. Through examination of staggered regulatory implementation, we demonstrate that market-based mechanisms generate more substantive disclosures compared to command-and-control approaches. These results provide empirical evidence that firms strategically manage environmental disclosures in response to institutional pressures. Our findings have important implications for regulatory design in emerging markets and advance understanding of voluntary disclosure mechanisms in sustainability governance.
  • 详情 Does Key Audit Matters (Kams) Disclosure Affect Corporate Financialization?
    This paper aims to clarify the relationship between key audit matters (KAMs) disclosure and corporate financialization. The findings reveal that key audit matters (KAMs) disclosure can provide incremental information value, thereby impeding corporate financialization in China. Moreover, this effect is more pronounced in the samples with low media attention, low shareholding of institutional investors, and non-state-owned enterprises. Further research indicates that reducing managerial myopia and easing financing constraints serve as key channels through which key audit matters (KAMs) disclosure affects corporate financialization. This study provides empirical evidence on efficiently preventing excessive financialization of enterprises, as well as some insights for mitigating systemic financial risks from the key audit matters (KAMs) disclosure perspective.
  • 详情 How Digital Transformation Driving Corporate Social Responsibility- Empirical Evidence from China's A-Share Listed Companies
    Enterprise digital transformation has become an inevitable trend in the digital economy era that can significantly impact enterprises. This paper takes the data of A-share listed companies from 2006 to 2022 as a sample to explore the effect of enterprise digital transformation on listed companies' corporate social responsibility and the mechanism of its role. It was found that corporate digital transformation can significantly enhance Csr(Corporate social responsibility), and enterprise digital transformation has a noticeable enabling effect on Csr, which can dramatically improve Csr. The relationship between the two still holds after the robustness test. It has been found that digital transformation can affect Csr by enhancing the green innovation capability of enterprises, the fairness of internal compensation distribution, and the sustainable development capability of enterprises. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that corporate digital transformation's impact on Csr fulfillment performance is more significant for non-state-owned firms and firms in the central and eastern regions. In addition, corporate financing constraints and government innovation subsidies influence Csr.
  • 详情 Basel Iii Affect Banks' Loan Loss Provisions? Evidence from China
    This study employs an imbalanced panel dataset of 524 Chinese commercial banks from 2009 to 2020 to investigate the influence of Basel III on banks' loan loss provisions. Our findings reveal no significant change in the relationship between loan loss provisions and capital adequacy, although it indicates a heightened impetus for Tier 1 capital management. Furthermore, the study finds that earnings management motivations, particularly related to pre-provision profits, influence banks' loan loss provisions. Basel III's enactment reduces the ability of high-earning banks to manipulate earnings using loan loss provisions. This research provides empirical evidence from China for the global assessment of Basel III's impact on commercial banks.