experience

  • 详情 Venture Capital Reputation and IPO Exit: A Two-Sided Matching Model Based on the Chinese Market
    This study investigates how venture capital (VC) reputation affects initial public offering (IPO) exits in the Chinese VC market using a two-sided matching mechanism. Research that distinguishes the sorting and influence effects of VCs in the Chinese market is lacking. To address this gap, Chinese VC transaction data, comprising 3,606 VC firms and 8,173 investment transactions, was used to construct a structural econometric model. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo Bayesian estimation techniques were employed to identify the sorting and influence effects of VC reputation. We demonstrate that the likelihood of IPO exits is considerably increased by VC reputation, whereas historical investment experience has a dampening effect on exit outcomes. The IPO success rates are significantly higher for firms in the biotechnology, electronics, medical, and late-stage industries. The difficulty of IPO exits increases with investment age. Compared to influence effects, sorting effects were the dominant mechanism. VCs with a high reputation systematically selected firms with potential advantages, such as high-quality management teams, to promote IPO success. This study’s novelty lies in its application of an endogenous two-sided matching solution to the Chinese VC market. Using a structural model, we discovered the importance of the reputation sorting effect in the Chinese VC market and refined the VC’s investment preferences in high-tech industries. This study’s practical significance lies in the findings that enterprises must pay attention to the sorting capabilities of VC institutions, the government can guide capital flows to efficient exit industries, and VC institutions should optimize the resource allocation structure.
  • 详情 Understanding the Effects on Corporate Performance of Investments in Wealth Management Products
    This paper evaluates how purchases of wealth management products (WMPs) influence the performance of Chinese non-financial listed companies. Our main finding is that purchasing WMPs enhances firm performance, but the relationship shows an inverted U-shape: when WMP investment exceeds 62.57% of total assets, its positive effects diminish and ultimately harm performance. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the performance gains are concentrated among non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs), while state-owned enterprises (SOEs) experience no significant benefits or even negative effects. Furthermore, the positive impact of WMPs is more pronounced in firms with higher leverage, abundant cash holdings or lower top-shareholder concentration.
  • 详情 The Role of Negative Peer Events in Leverage Manipulation: Evidence from Bond Defaults in China
    This study examines the role of negative peer events, specifically initial bond defaults, in driving leverage manipulation of non-defaulting firms within the same region. Controlling for firm-specific time-varying characteristics, we find that initial bond defaults within a province are associated with an increase in leverage manipulation among non-defaulting firms. Two potential mechanisms underlying this relationship include increased financial constraints for these firms and elevated investor risk perception of the local bond market. The positive impact of bond defaults on leverage manipulation is more pronounced for financially constrained firms, firms with severe information asymmetry, and those affected by high-rated bond and principal defaults. We further show that companies that manipulate their debt ratios experience higher default risk. Our findings have important implications for transparent disclosure and highlight the negative effect of regional bond defaults on corporate financial reporting practices.
  • 详情 Investors' Risk-taking Behaviors after "Escaping from Death"
    We examine how investors who experienced paper gains during a bubble-crash episode, deemed as investors “escaping from death”, adjusted their future risk-taking. Using detailed transaction-level data and a quasi-experiment based on an unanticipated government intervention in the 2007–08 Chinese stock market, we find that investors who “escaped from death” reduce risk-taking behaviors over the next five years. The evidence shows that the change in risk taking is likely at-tributable to reference-dependent preferences. However, the effect diminishes over time and investors “escaping from death” do not exhibit a diminished tendency toward risk-taking when confronted with a stock market bubble crash again.
  • 详情 Mobility Frictions, Partial Migration and the Distributional Effects of International Trade
    A critical barrier to labor mobility arises from institutional constraints that im-pose discriminatory costs on migrants. Using China’s hukou system as a case study,we construct a novel, outcome-based measure of mobility frictions that infers thesediscriminatory costs. We document a systematic relationship between our frictionmeasure, migrants’ decisions to leave behind families (“partial migration”), remit-tances, and expenditure patterns. Our estimated spatial general equilibrium modelencompasses these features and examines how mobility frictions interact with tradeliberalization to shape migration, inequality, and welfare. Trade-exposed regionsbenefft from attracting migrants, while high-friction regions experience muted laborreallocation and smaller welfare gains.
  • 详情 Redefining China’s Real Estate Market: Land Sale, Local Government, and Policy Transformation
    This study examines the economic consequences of China’s Three-Red-Lines policy, introduced in 2021 to cap real estate developers' leverage by imposing strict thresholds on debt ratios and liquidity. Developers breaching these thresholds experienced sharp declines in financing, land acquisitions, and financial performance. Privately owned developers(POE) are hit harder than state-owned firms (SOE), with larger drops in sales and higher default risk. Using granular project-level data, we show that the policy reduces developer sales primarily by curtailing new-project supply: breached developers launch fewer projects. On the demand side, homebuyers reallocate purchases from privately owned developers to SOEs, further widening the POE-SOE gap. The policy also reduced local governments’ land-transfer revenues and increased reliance on local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) for land purchases. These LGFV-acquired parcels exhibit very low subsequent development rates, which may increase local governments’off-balance-sheet debt risks.
  • 详情 Economic Policy Uncertainty and Mergers Between Companies Facing Different Levels of Financing Constraints: Evidence From China
    This paper examines how economic policy uncertainty (EPU) affects mergers and acquisitions (M&As) between companies with different levels of financing constraints. Existing literature overlooks the interactive effect of EPU and financing constraints on M&As, and empirical evidence regarding EPU's influence on financially constrained firms remains limited. China's unique ownership structure provides a valuable context for this analysis, as state-owned enterprises (SOEs) face fewer financing constraints than private firms. Using a 2007-2021 sample of Chinese listed state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and private companies, we find that high EPU decreases the likelihood of private firms acquiring SOEs, while increases the likelihood of private firms being acquired by SOEs. These results suggest that under high EPU, financially constrained firms experience greater survival pressure, limiting their capacity to alleviate constraints by acquiring less-constrained targets. Conversely, less-constrained firms enhance their bargaining power and are more likely to acquire financially stressed counterparts. EPU facilitates control transfers from high-constraint to low-constraint firms, contributing to long-term market returns and improving financial market allocation efficiency. Our study contributes to the literature by shedding light on how EPU shapes divergent M&A behaviors based on firms’ financing constraints.
  • 详情 Sdg Performance and Stock Returns: Fresh Insights from China
    Utilizing microevaluation data on the extent to which firms advance the achievement of the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) provided by Robeco, this paper examines the influence of corporate sustainability on stock price performance and its underlying economic mechanisms. The empirical results suggest that firms’ sustainability has a significant negative effect on excess returns, particularly the contribution of firms to the social dimension of sustainability. Firms’ SDG performance can alleviate financing constraints and reduce financial risk, but it does not significantly enhance financial performance, leading to market capital outflows from high SDG-performing firms, especially from individual investors. Furthermore, our results suggest that high SDG-performing firms are undervalued and do not increase the information content in their stock prices, which may be the main reason for the negative effect of SDG performance. We also conduct a series of heterogeneity tests, which show that firms from regions with high environmental regulatory intensity and less economic development, as well as heavily polluting firms and firms with poorer information environments, experience greater negative effects. These findings have implications for investors to properly understand corporate sustainability and for regulators to promote the development of a low-carbon economy.
  • 详情 What Can Issuers Benefit from Green Bond Issuances?
    We examine the effects of issuing green bond on green premium and green signal transmission by matching green bonds with ordinary bonds. We find that the credit spread of green bonds is significantly lower than that of ordinary bonds, especially for those green bonds with lower information disclosure complexity. Besides, issuing green bonds cannot receive a positive response from the stock market, but can significantly reduce issuer’s loan costs and provide more financial subsidies for high polluting issuers. Furthermore, by obtaining discounted loans and financial subsidies, issuing green bonds can increase issuer’s R&D intensity and reduce their carbon emissions. These findings indicate that issuing green bonds can reduce financing costs and convey green signals to market stakeholders with less investment experience.
  • 详情 Can Low-Carbon Technology Transfer Accelerate the Convergence of Total Factor Energy Efficiency?
    The disparities in green transition have led to the call for a ‘just transition’. However, the large differences in energy efficiency across different regions have been identified as a primary hazard to the just transition. This study examines whether transferring low-carbon technology can improve the efficiency of energy, enhancing the overall energy efficiency, and marketing a sustainable and equitable energy future. In this paper, we utilize the Undesirable-SE-SBM model to estimate the energy efficiency of China's 30 provinces during 2012 to 2022, and empirically tested the impact of low-carbon technology transfer on the convergence of total-factor energy efficiency by convergence analysis. The results showed that: (1) There is evidence of σ convergence and absolute β convergence in the eastern and western regions, but not in the central region. (2) Low-carbon technology transfer can accelerate the convergence of total factor energy efficiency. Lagging regions that adopt low-carbon technologies can catch up with the advanced regions' level of total-factor energy efficiency. (3) There is regional heterogeneity in the effect of low-carbon technology transfer on the accelerating convergence of total factor energy efficiency. The western region experiences the most significant acceleration, followed by the eastern and central regions.