information content

  • 详情 Release of Information at Shareholder Meetings in China: Have Regulatory Changes Increased Their Information Content?
    This paper studies how regulatory changes affect investors’ reactions at shareholder meetings in China. The objective of this paper is twofold: first, to analyse the information content transmitted to the shareholders of the largest Chinese companies listed on the China Securities Index 300 when an Annual General Meeting is held. A distinction is made between ordinary and extraordinary general meetings. Second, to find out if regulatory changes related to the Company Law of China and online voting in Annual General Meetings affect the information content of those meetings. The abnormal return obtained is examined through an event study using the Fama-French five-factor model. The results of our study indicate that the release of information and involvement of minority shareholders in general meetings during the research period led to higher return volatility and traded volume.
  • 详情 Diamond Cuts Diamond: News Co-mention Momentum Spillover Prevails in China
    We conduct a comprehensive study on momentum spillovers in the Chinese stock market using varioustypes of economic linkages. We find that the news co-mention momentum spillover is signiffcantly strongercompared to other forms of momentum spillovers. Using spanning tests and Fama-MacBeth regressions,we further show that the news co-mention momentum spillover uniffes all different forms of momentum spillover effects in the Chinese stock market. Notably, the analyst co-coverage momentum spillover effect, which is the dominant species in the US stock market, is subsumed by the news co-mention momentum spillover effect in the Chinese stock market. We further explore the differences in the information content of links implied by news co-mentioning and other proxies. We suggest that the dominance of news co-mention momentum spillover over others can be attributed to two primary factors: comprehensive information and prompt updates.
  • 详情 The Information Content of Corporate Disclosure Via Wechat Public Account
    During the past decade, Wechat-public-accounts (WPAs) have gained increasing popularity as a novel tool for voluntary disclosure among Chinese public firms. This paper examines whether WPA disclosures provide value-relevant information to the market. Using a topic model to process over 1.6 million WPA articles during 2012-2020 and an event study design, we find that the stock market reacts strongly following a WPA disclosure event and the magnitude varies with the topic and textual feature of the WPA articles. We further present evidence that firms use their WPAs to provide new information rather than reinforce information that is already presented in other channels. Moreover, financial analysts, journalists, and retail investors rely on corporate WPAs for their information production. Collectively, our findings indicate that corporate WPAs are an economically significant source of new information for market participants that supplement traditional disclosure channels considered in prior studies.
  • 详情 Do Analysts Disseminate Anomaly Information in China?
    This study examines whether sell-side analysts have the ability to disseminate information consistent with anomaly prescriptions in China. I adopt 192 trading-based and accounting-based anomaly signals to identify undervalued and overvalued stocks. Analysts tend to give more (less) favorable recommendations and earnings forecasts to undervalued (overvalued) stocks. On analyzing the information content, I find that analyst recommendations and earnings forecasts are consistent with accounting-based information rather than trading-based information. Analysts make recommendations and earnings forecasts consistent with anomalies, especially when firms experience relatively bad firm-level information. Additionally, undervalued (overvalued) stocks are associated with high (low) analyst coverage. The results indicate that analysts may contribute to mitigating anomaly mispricing and improving market efficiency in China.
  • 详情 Can credit ratings improve information quality in the stock market? Evidence from China
    Using a difference-in-differences (DID) approach, this research assesses the effect of a firm’s credit rating issued by domestic rating agencies on stock price crash risk (SPCR). The results show that SPCR for treated firms decreases by 11% after firm ratings, suggesting that they can aggravate information content at the firm level. The effect is consistently more evident when stock price synchronization is higher and is stronger in firms with low media coverage, in firms with low audit quality, in state-controlled firms, and in firms with low investor protection. In addition, during a bear market year, the quality of firm ratings is higher. Overall, our findings support that investors could gain more information via firm ratings issued by credit rating agencies. Through our research, policymakers and investors can pay more attention to firm ratings that help play the information intermediary role of credit rating agencies.
  • 详情 Informed Trading by Mutual Funds after Private Placement: Evidence from China
    We examine the information content of changes in shareholdings after private issuance of public equity (PIPE) by mutual funds that participate in PIPEs in China. The results show that the changes in shareholdings is positively related to alpha and cumulative abnormal return (CAR) for PIPE issuers with high information asymmetry, suggesting that the participating mutual funds have superior information. These results are robust after controlling for investment skill, geographic location, and alumni relation. The positive relation between shareholding change and information content is driven by PIPE issuers with weaker corporate governance. In addition, the positive relation is stronger when the placement discount is lower. These results are consistent with a hypothesis that controlling shareholders/management in Chinese PIPE firms may collude with mutual funds to do tunneling.
  • 详情 The Information Content of Option Trading: Evidence from AH cross-listing index and stocks
    This paper uses high frequency option data to investigate the information content of option trading of AH cross listed stocks (A-shares traded in mainland China and H-shares traded in Hong Kong) and the role of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Connect in this issue. Measuring the informed trading with order imbalance, we find that the order imbalance of stock options traded in Hong Kong contains incremental information that predicts the return of corresponding A-shares traded in Shanghai after controlling for the cross-market return and volume factors proposed by Gagnon and Karolyi (2009). More important, this predictive power strengthens after the Shanghai-Hong Kong Connect, which is also supported by the evidence of comparison between the two stock crashes exactly before and after the connection. During the 2015 stock crash, the spillover effect of the two markets is significantly stronger than that during the 2008 financial crisis.
  • 详情 Understanding Retail Investors: Evidence from China
    Using comprehensive account-level data from 2016 to 2019, we examine retail investor trading behavior in the Chinese stock market. We separate millions of retail investors into five groups by their account sizes and document strong heterogeneity in their trading dynamics and performance. Retail investors with smaller account sizes cannot predict future price movements correctly, in the sense that they buy future losers and sell future winners. These investors fail to process public news and display behavioral biases such as overconfidence and gambling preferences. In sharp contrast, retail investors with larger account balances predict future returns correctly, incorporate public news in their trading, and gain more in stocks which are more attractive to investors with behavioral biases. For liquidity provision, the smaller retail investors follow daily momentum strategies, demanding immediate liquidity, while they become contrarian over weekly horizons, and they contribute positively towards firm-level liquidity. On the contrary, larger retail investors ae contrarian at daily horizons, providing immediate liquidity, but their potentially informed trades demand liquidity over longer terms.
  • 详情 Do stock prices underreact to information conveyed by investors' trades?
    We examine the process of stock prices adjusting to information conveyed by the trading process. Using the price impact of a trade to measure its information content, our analysis shows that the weekly price impact of market transactions has significant cross-sectional predictive power for returns in the subsequent week. The effect is sensitive to the level of informational asymmetry and is not due to excess liquidity demands or variations in rational risk premia. This finding suggests that prices may slowly incorporate trading information. We then characterize the key channel through which price underreaction occurs. We find that the price impact contains information that is not fully captured by public order flows and that a lead-lag effect exists regarding the arrival of information to different groups of investors. Hong and Stein’s (1999) gradual-information-diffusion theory seems the most likely explanation for price underreaction.
  • 详情 Block Trades on the Shanghai Stock Exchange
    Using block trades data on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) from 2003 – 2009, we study the pricing mechanisms of block buys and sells. We show that block trades are priced at discount (premium) for sells (buys). The discount/ premium varies depending on the characteristics of the stocks traded, the complexity of the trades, and also on whether the trades are internalized. We also study permanent and temporary price impact of the trades. As expected, seller-initiated trades do not seem to be information related as there is no significant information content. On the contrary, the prices decline after buyer-initiated trades, suggesting that buyers do not possess private information which leads to a permanent shift in prices. Temporary price impacts of all trades are large in magnitude and statistically significant, reflecting compensation for locating counterparties and the cost of negotiating terms. This suggests that the information platform on SSE for locating counterparties is yet to be fully developed to help reduce the transaction cost of block trades.