portfolio allocation

  • 详情 A multidimensional approach to measuring the risk tolerance of households in China
    Evidence from the U.S. and Europe suggests that current risk assessment tools used by researchers and financial professionals to determine individuals’ risk tolerance and provide suitable portfolio recommendations may be flawed due to “mis”perceptions of risk. Limited research has examined the reliability of these tools as measures of relative risk tolerance for households in emerging economies like China. This study develops a multidimensional index of risk tolerance specifically tailored for Chinese households using a psychometric approach. The effectiveness of this multidimensional index in predicting individuals’ financial decisions is tested and compared to traditional unidimensional measures of risk tolerance commonly used in developed countries. The findings indicate that multidimensional measures are more consistent and significant predictors of Chinese households’ investment decisions. Additionally, the study uncovers evidence that cultural differences, related to market expectations and social networks, which are often overlooked in U.S. and European models, play a crucial role in shaping individuals' risk perceptions and investment choices in China. Robustness checks were conducted to account for potential endogeneity between risk tolerance and investment decisions. The findings provide valuable insights for researchers and financial professionals seeking to develop more accurate risk assessment tools that capture risk attitudes and perceptions in China and other developing countries. By adopting a multidimensional approach that accounts for cultural and psychosocial factors, these improved tools can enhance the precision of risk evaluation and facilitate more appropriate investment recommendations.
  • 详情 Deep Learning Stock Portfolio Allocation in China: Treat Multi-Dimension Time-Series Data as Image
    A deep learning method is applied to predict stock portfolio allocation in the Chinese stock market. We use 6 original price and volume series as benchmark model settings and further explore the model's predictive performance with social media sentiment. Our results show that our model can achieve a high out-of-sample Sharp ratio and annual return. Moreover, social media sentiment could increase the performance for both Sharp ratio and annual return while reducing annual volatility. We provide an end-to-end stock portfolio allocation model based on deep neural networks.
  • 详情 Shareholder Coordination Costs and the Market for Corporate Control
    Coordination costs among a firm’s shareholders have an important impact on the market for corporate control. I use two measures, one based on the geographic distance among institutional shareholders and the other based on the correlation in their portfolio allocation decisions, to proxy for coordination costs. I find that target firms with low shareholder coordination costs experience significantly higher abnormal returns around the takeover announcement. In a similar vein, acquirer firms with low shareholder coordination costs are associated with higher acquisition announcement returns. These effects are particularly pronounced after the 1992 proxy reform that relaxes the restrictions on communication and coordination among shareholders. These findings suggest that the ease of coordination among shareholders plays an important role in the market for corporate control by raising the bargaining power of target shareholders and enhancing the monitoring role of both target and acquirer shareholders.