risk sharing

  • 详情 Clan-based Risk Sharing and Formal Insurance: 1936 vs 2019 in Modern China
    This paper focuses on the role of Confucian clan in risk sharing and examines its dynamic impact on the development of the insurance sector. Strikingly, we find that Confucian clan hindered the development of the insurance sector at the initial stage of modern China while it promoted the development of the insurance sector at the current stage of modern China. Further analyses indicate three potential explanations underlying the contrasting results: the increasing risk unpredictability and severity of losses, the migration of clan members, and the influence of Western culture. The risksharing experience in clan groups enhances individuals’ awareness of insurance, which induces them to embrace formal insurance when clan-based risk sharing is incomplete. Our study provides valuable insights into the relation between informal risk sharing and formal insurance.
  • 详情 Privatization and Risk Sharing: Evidence from the Split Share Structure Reform in China
    A fundamental question in finance is whether and how removing market frictions is associated with efficiency gains. We study this question using share issue privatization in China that took place through the split share structure reform. Prior to the reform, domestic A-shares were divided into tradable and non-tradable shares with identical cash flow and voting rights. Under the reform, holders of the non-tradable shares negotiated a compensation plan with holders of the tradable shares in order to make their shares tradable. We hypothesize that efficiency gains in terms of better risk sharing play an important role in the determination of compensation. We show that the size of compensation is positively associated with both the gain in risk sharing and the price impact of more shares coming to the market after the reform, and is negatively associated with the bargaining power of holders of non-tradable shares and firm performance. Our study highlights the role of risk sharing in China’s share issue privatization.
  • 详情 Privatization and Risk Sharing: Evidence from the Split Share Structure Reform in China
    A fundamental question in economics and finance is whether and how removing barriers is associated with efficiency gains. We study this question using share issue privatization in China that took place through the split share structure reform as our experimental setting. Prior to the reform, domestic Ashares are divided into tradable and non-tradable shares with identical cash flow and voting rights. Under the reform, non-tradable share holders negotiate a compensation plan with tradable share holders in order to make their shares tradable. We develop a general equilibrium model to help understand the determinants of compensation and the source of gains in the process of privatization. Our key predictions are: a) there is compensation made by the non-tradable share holders to the tradable share holders if and only if the bargaining power of the former is weaker than the bargaining power of the latter; and b) the size of the compensation is decreasing in firm performance. Our second prediction contradicts conventional wisdom that fails to account for improved risk sharing after the reform. Our empirical results are broadly consistent with our model’s predictions. We conclude that better risk sharing is an important consideration in China’s share issue privatization.
  • 详情 Project Risk Choices under Privately Insured Financing*
    The seminal works of Jensen and Meckling (1976) and Myers (1977) highlight the conflicts of interest between the owners, managers, and debt holders of the firm and discuss the risk-shifting behavior of the managers assumed for our purpose to be the“firm” in detriment of their debt holders. Although a considerable amount of research has been undertaken on this topic, much less studies are devoted to endogenizing risk choices in the presence of financial guarantees and in the context of corporate project financing. A firm risk’s appetite increases when it has a guarantee contract on its debt, which creates a conflict between the firm and the guarantee provider. Addressing formally this moral hazard issue, we propose an equilibrium model in which the borrowing firm and the guarantee provider pre-commit themselves to conscripted risk levels at the signature of the loan guarantee contract. We show if the borrowing firm and the guarantor precommit, the equilibrium risk level is lower than the one the firm will choose unilaterally. For short (long) maturity debts, both parties gain by agreeing on a high (low) risk project when the firm shareholders have a big equity stake in the new project. We also study the trade-off between the borrowing firm’s capital structure and its risk level. The optimal risk level of the firm is entirely determined by its ex-post capital structure.