China

  • 详情 Directors' and Officers' Liability Insurance and Organization Capital: Evidence from China
    We examine whether firms with high organization capital (OC) are more likely to purchase Directors’ and Officers’ (D&O) liability insurance, using a panel of Chinese A-share listed companies from 2009 to 2021. We document a robust positive association between OC and the propensity to carry D&O insurance. The effect remains statistically and economically significant after controlling for firm characteristics and employing multiple identification strategies to address endogeneity. We propose two economic channels through which OC affects D&O insurance demand, namely, agency and information asymmetry. Consistent with these mechanisms, we find that the positive OC–D&O relationship is significantly stronger in firms with weaker internal governance and those facing opaquer information environments. Additional cross-sectional analyses show that this effect is concentrated in privately-owned firms and in regions with more developed market institutions, suggesting that external pressures accentuate the value of insuring key decision-makers. Our results are robust to alternative model specifications and remain stable after using propensity score matching, instrumental variable approaches, and the Heckman two-stage model. Overall, the findings highlight OC as a critical internal driver of corporate insurance decisions. Firms with substantial intangible assets strategically obtain D&O coverage to strengthen governance and reduce information frictions, especially in emerging markets like China where formal investor protections are still evolving.
  • 详情 The Repurchase Effect and Asset Prices
    Investors’ prior experiences with a stock substantially affect their willingness to repurchase it. This paper explores the repurchase effect, a psychological bias in which investors are reluctant to repurchase stocks that have appreciated after a prior sale. To quantify this bias, we develop a novel stock-level measure, termed Repur, and investigate its implications for cross-sectional asset pricing. Our findings show that stocks with higher Repur tend to experience reduced future buying pressure from investors, which in turn results in lower subsequent returns. Economically, long-short portfolios based on Repur yield annualized abnormal returns exceeding 23% for equal-weighted and 11% for value-weighted risk-adjusted returns. Further analyses show that the pricing effect of Repur is more pronounced following periods of high investor sentiment, for stocks with greater arbitrage constraints, and for firms with smaller investor bases. Out-of-sample evidence from China confirms the significant pricing impact of the repurchase effect.
  • 详情 The Liquidity Risk Channel of the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle: Evidence from China
    This study integrates microstructure theory with asset pricing to investigates how the idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) puzzle operates through specialized liquidity risk channels in China’s A-shares market. We employ intraday transactions data to perform a novel decomposition of liquidity into its variable (informational) and fixed (transitory) components. We show that the anomalous negative relationship between IVOL and future returns emerges from the intricate interaction of liquidity risk exposure, information and arbitrage constraints, and measurement biases. Specifically, the variable component tied to informed trading and adverse selection exposes high-IVOL stocks to greater arbitrage risk during liquidity shocks, while the fixed component exacerbates their vulnerability to short-term market-making cost fluctuations. Our results reveal that the IVOL puzzle is not a statistical artifact but a rational pricing phenomenon driven by omitted liquidity risk, mediated by the country’s unique institutional environment and monetary conditions.
  • 详情 How Environmental Uncertainty Drives Asymmetric Mispricing in China: Dual Channels and Heterogeneous Media Effect
    The essay delves into the impact of environmental uncertainty on asymmetric mispricing utilizing the data from listed firms in China spanning from 2007 to 2023. Our analysis reveals that environmental uncertainty amplifies stock mispricing within capital markets, whether upward or downward. Diverging from prior research, we distinguish between upward and downward mispricing and reveal the black box of environmental uncertainty affecting stock mispricing from dual channels. Specifically, environmental uncertainty intensifies upward mispricing through heightened earnings management and exacerbates downward mispricing by boosting investor irrationality. Furthermore, we explore the heterogeneous impact of different media coverage. In the downward mispricing sample, negative media exacerbated the relationship between the two, while positive coverage played a mitigating role. In the upward mispricing sample, only negative reports have a significant impact, and mitigate the impact of uncertainty on mispricing. Our research on media heterogeneity once again proves that it is a double-edged sword. Our research indicates that improving the capacity to recognize different mispricing mechanisms in various market directions can greatly boost decision-making efficiency. Meanwhile, it is vital to strengthen professional ethics in media organizations and encourage more objective reporting. These efforts can jointly contribute to improve he efficiency of emerging capital markets.
  • 详情 Value Investment and Gambling: An Integrated Asset Pricing Model Based on Q and Salience Theory
    We interpret industry discount rates as proxies for value investment, grounded in Q theory, while capturing gambling preferences through salience theory. Integrating these perspectives, we propose a novel asset pricing model (ST-ICAPM) that unifies value investment and salience factors, evaluating its pricing efficacy across Chinese industries from 2004 to 2023. Empirical results show that investment factors tend to negatively predict future returns, while growth factors command risk premia. However, profitability factors exhibit limited explanatory power. Investor expectations are primarily driven by profit growth, emphasizing the need to enhance profit stability for a value-oriented market. Salience intensity, especially when measured via eigenvector centrality within industry networks, serves as a strong negative predictor of returns, emphasizing the importance of conceptual connections over purely economic linkages in shaping investor behavior. Robust tests confirm that the ST-ICAPM outperforms benchmark models (FF3, CARHART4, FF5, ICAPM, and STCAPM) in terms of pricing power. Our findings emphasize the need to promote value investing and restrain gambling behavior as essential strategies to cultivate a resilient capital market in China.
  • 详情 Missing Financial Data in Chinese Market
    This paper studies missing firm characteristics in the Chinese stock market and their implications for empirical asset pricing. Relative to the U.S. market, missing firm characteristics in China remain underexplored despite substantial differences in data availability and disclosure environments. Using a dataset of 106 firm characteristics from 1992 to 2021, we document a pronounced cliff-shaped pattern in missingness, with missing rates falling sharply after 2000. We then compare expectation-maximization (EM) and mean imputation (MN) in both univariate characteristic-sorted portfolios and machine-learning applications that combine many predictors. Results indicate that, in univariate analysis, the two methods produce very similar return spreads because they assign largely the same stocks to the extreme deciles. In machine-learning applications, however, EM-imputed data generally produce better-performing prediction-sorted portfolios than mean-imputed data. These findings provide new evidence on missing firm characteristics in a major emerging market and highlight the importance of imputation choices in machine-learning asset-pricing applications.
  • 详情 Exploring the Cost of Carry in Chinese Energy Futures: Does it Interact with the Energy Stock Market?
    The increasing institutional participation and deepening integration of physical trading and financial operations in commodity markets have elevated the interconnectedness of energy futures and equity markets to prominence in both scholarly discourse and industry analysis. Employing the Nelson-Siegel framework and Fama-French factor model, this study examines the dynamic relationships between energy futures holding cost variations and equity returns across coal and oil sectors. Our analysis yields three principal findings: First, the Fama-French three-factor model exhibits robust explanatory power in China's energy sector equity market, revealing significant statistical relationships between holding cost curve parameters—level, slope, and curvature—and industry excess returns. Second, holding cost variations manifest substantial heterogeneity in their impact on stock returns across coal and oil sectors. Third, carrying cost components demonstrate dominance over shock transmission effects in explaining industry stock return volatility, indicating complex, asymmetric interaction mechanisms between futures and equity markets. Drawing from these empirical results, we advance targeted policy prescriptions addressing futures market architecture and financial stability.
  • 详情 Does the industrial internet enhance firm innovation? Evidence from China’s pilot reform
    This study examines whether China’s Industrial Internet pilot policy (2017–2023) enhances firm innovation and explores the underlying mechanisms. Exploiting the staggered rollout of the policy across provinces as a quasi-natural experiment, we find that Industrial Internet adoption significantly increases firms’ innovation output. Mechanism tests show that the policy promotes knowledge accumulation, strengthens innovation persistence, and improves human capital allocation. We also document positive economic consequences, as treated firms earn higher returns to innovation. The effects are stronger for capital-intensive firms, those located in regions with advanced digital infrastructure, and firms undertaking joint or substantive innovation activities. Overall, the evidence highlights the Industrial Internet as an effective catalyst for firm innovation by deepening R&D capability and facilitating cross-industry knowledge flows.
  • 详情 Unleashing new-quality productive forces: Reconsidering the impact of data-factor marketization
    Data-factor marketization (DFM) serves as a critical driver for cultivating manufacturing-enterprise new-quality productive forces (ME-NQPF), fundamentally supporting China's transition toward high-quality economic development. Integrating matched panel data from A-share listed Chinese manufacturing firms (2011–2022) with the staggered establishment of regional data trading platforms as a quasi-natural experiment, this study employs a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) framework to identify the causal impact of DFM on ME-NQPF. Empirical results demonstrate that DFM significantly enhances ME-NQPF, a finding that remains robust across alternative specifications and endogeneity treatments. Mechanism analysis identifies enterprise digital transformation as a pivotal mediator in this relationship, while competitive intensity is found to positively moderate the productivity gains from data marketization. Heterogeneity analysis further indicates that these effects are most pronounced among non-state-owned enterprises, technology-intensive sectors, and firms situated in China's eastern and central regions. These findings suggest that institutionalizing data-factor markets and accelerating digital integration are effective mechanisms for optimizing resource allocation and sustaining advanced industrial productivity.
  • 详情 Operational Metrics in Derivatives Adoption: Evidence from China's Chemical Industry
    This study examines the role of financial derivatives in managing operational and financial risks within China's chemical manufacturing sector. While prior research has primarily focused on financial determinants of hedging decisions, we highlight the significant influence of operational metrics—particularly inventory levels and turnover rates—in shaping firms’ engagement in derivatives markets. Drawing from a sample of 289 publicly listed chemical firms from 2016 to 2022, we employ probit regression and K-means clustering to explore how operational and financial factors jointly determine derivatives adoption. Our empirical results reveal that operational metrics have a non-negligible impact on hedging decisions. Specifically, inventory and turnover rates emerge as primary determinants of firms' initiatives, while pre-tax operating profit remains significant from a financial perspective. The moderation analysis of cash flow reveals that financially constrained firms prioritize derivatives for operational risk mitigation, while resource-abundant firms employ them selectively for strategic optimization. Furthermore, our robustness tests, which control for geographical distinctions and the COVID-19 effect, confirm that firm-specific operational characteristics consistently dominate firms' hedging decisions despite regional heterogeneity. Finally, clustering analysis underscores the interplay between operational efficiency and capital robustness, showing that firms exhibiting superior operational efficiency and capital robustness demonstrate higher engagement in derivatives hedging. These findings contribute to the corporate risk management literature by expounding on the primacy of operational considerations in derivatives usage, particularly in asset-intensive industries. The study also provides practical implications for manufacturing firms navigating volatile market conditions, emphasizing that integrating operational and financial strategies is crucial for effective risk management.