China

  • 详情 Social Networks in Motion: High-Speed Rail and Market Reactions to Earnings News
    We examine how social networks shaped by high-speed rail connections influence investor attention and market reactions to earnings announcements in China. Firms in high-centrality cities exhibit stronger immediate and subsequent responses in investor attention, stock price, and trading volume to earnings news. Further analysis shows that earnings-induced local attention predicts future attention spillovers to intercity investors, amplifying both price and volume reactions after announcements. Overall, these findings indicate that high-speed rail networks foster investor social networks that facilitate the dissemination of firm news and help explain predictable patterns in investor behavior and market pricing.
  • 详情 A Pathway Design Framework for Rational Low-Carbon Policies Based on Model Predictive Control
    Climate change presents a global threat, prompting nations to adopt low-carbon development pathways to mitigate its potential impacts. However, current research lacks a comprehensive framework capable of integrating multiple variables and providing dynamic optimization capabilities. This article focuses on designing pathways for developing a low-carbon economy to tackle climate challenges. Specifically, we construct a low-carbon economy model that incorporates economic, environmental, social, energy, and policy factors to analyze the drivers of economic growth and carbon emissions. We utilize economic model predictive control and tracking model predictive control to optimize development pathways aligned with various low-carbon targets, creating and validating a comprehensive framework for low-carbon policy design using historical data from China. This study highlights significant advantages in analyzing low-carbon pathways through advanced techniques like hierarchical regression and model predictive control, providing a robust framework that enhances our understanding of causal relationships within the LCE system, captures system feedback, dynamically optimizes pathways, and accommodates diverse policies within a comprehensive low-carbon economy system.
  • 详情 Does Cross-Asset Time-Series Momentum Truly Outperform Single-Asset Time-Series Momentum? New Evidence from China's Stock and Bond Markets
    We revisit cross-asset time-series momentum (XTSM) and single-asset time-series momentum (TSM) in China's stock and bond markets. With a fixed-effects model, we find a positive momentum from bonds to stocks and a negative momentum from stocks to bonds, with both momentum persisting for no more than six months. By employing a cross-grouping method, we find that the choice of lookback periods and asset signals impacts the performance of XTSM and TSM. A comparison between XTSM, TSM, and time-series historical (TSH) portfolios reveals that XTSM outperforms in small/midcap stocks and government bonds, while its performance is weak in large-cap stocks and corporate bonds. A spanning test confirms that XTSM generates excess returns that other pricing factors can not explain. XTSM is more prone to momentum crashes. Increased market stress has similarly adverse effects on XTSM and TSM. Furthermore, Market illiquidity, IPO counts, new investor accounts, and consumer confidence index positively correlate with the returns of XTSM and TSM portfolios, while IPO first-day return and turnover rate correlate negatively. The effects of these sentiment indicators exhibit heterogeneity.
  • 详情 Conversion to Green Energy in China: Perspectives and Environmental Law
    This study was conducted to understand better how rules influence China's energy performance; this research on these policies' efficacy that facilitating the transition to sustainable energy sources is of tremendous significance, particularly in light of the severe problems climate change poses. To determine whether or not strict regulations are beneficial to China's energy transition efforts, this research makes use of a substantial amount of data about China's environmental laws and environmental transition policies. This paper thoroughly analyses the impact of strict environmental regulations on various energy transition measures. These metrics include the availability of green energy, carbon emissions, and energy efficiency. The results provide insights into how environmental restrictions have affected China's transition to a different energy source. Policymakers and stakeholders may use this information to build efficient plans to expedite the transition to a low-carbon, renewable energy system in China and abroad.
  • 详情 Social Distrust and Household Savings: Evidence from China
    This paper examines the impact of social distrust on household saving in China using a microsample from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS). We find that social distrust leads to an increase in savings within households, in which households not living alone, with higher levels of education and urban households are more affected. We also find that social distrust affects household savings through raising risk expectations, reducing credit availability and amplifying risk spillovers from real estate markets.
  • 详情 Geographic Distance from the Government and Corporate Charitable Donations
    To better understand the government’s role in corporate social responsibility (CSR), we use the relocation of local governments in China as an exogenous shock to examine how geographic distance from the government affects corporate charitable donations. The Difference-in-Differences (DiD) analysis indicates that firms reduce charitable donations when local governments move closer. This effect is more pronounced for non-state-owned enterprises and for firms located in cities with lower fiscal pressure. The results remain consistent to a series of robustness tests, including alternative sample specifications, different measures of donations, and various estimation methods. We do not observe a corresponding increase in donations when governments move farther away. Additional analysis indicates that when the government relocates closer, firms may reallocate resources away from traditional charitable donations toward CSR activities that involve more active engagement.
  • 详情 Beyond the Techno-Feudalism Narrative of the Digital Economy: Clarification Based on Marx's Theory of Surplus Value
    With the digital transformation of the capitalist economy, some contemporary scholars have put forward the Techno-Feudalism narrative of the digital economy. This narrative emphasizes that digital platform enterprises, as emerging market entities in the digital economy, have many practices that are highly similar to those of feudal lords. For example, digital platform enterprises plundering user data is similar to feudal lords plundering land; digital platform enterprises collecting digital rent is similar to feudal lords collecting land rent; digital platform enterprises controlling users and workers is similar to feudal lords controlling slaves. However, this narrative has many theoretical fallacies. Marx's theory of surplus value shows that the above phenomena are essentially still the contemporary form of capital seizing surplus value through technological innovation. The techno-feudalism narrative ignores the internal logic of capital using technological iteration to reconstruct the exploitation mechanism and falls into a superficial misjudgment. In contrast, the Chinese governance practice of digital economy breaks the monopoly of platforms on data elements through the innovation of the separation of three rights of data property rights; promotes fair competition and optimal allocation of resources in the digital economy by strengthening anti-monopoly supervision and promoting the construction of digital infrastructure; proves that the socialist system can break the capital proliferation cycle and achieve "people-centered" development by building a labor rights protection system to promote the creation and sharing of value and transcending the techno-feudalism phenomenon of the digital economy.
  • 详情 The Impact of Chinese Local Government Hidden Debt on Corporate ESG Greenwashing
    This paper examines the impact of Chinese local government hidden debt on corporate ESG greenwashing. Extending fraud theory, we reveal that hidden debt shifts the boundary between government and market that drives the factors behind ESG greenwashing. Using the ESG greenwashing indicator of listed firms in the A-share market and the hidden debt-to-GDP ratio of 31 provinces from 2012 to 2023, we find that local government hidden debt is positively correlated with corporate ESG greenwashing. The impact is more significant for firms that are state-owned, without active primary-level Party organizations, or not on China’s key pollution supervisory list. Mechanism analysis indicates that expansion of local government hidden debt brings firms with higher LGFVs’ share-holding for the SOEs, heavier environmental tax burden, and less social responsibility preference, all of which are related with ESG greenwashing. Reducing local government special debt and improving tax compliance can help alleviate this impact. These findings highlight the necessity of fiscal risk management in achieving genuinely sustainable corporate development.
  • 详情 Official Promotion Incentives and Carbon Emissions of Local Enterprises: Evidence from Official Change
    Following the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the central government elevated the construction of ecological civilization to a central position within national strategy and introduced environmental governance indicators as mandatory criteria for evaluating officials, alongside GDP. These indicators served as an additional "threshold" for performance assessments. In the context of changes in the central government's development ideology and policies, this study utilizes matched data on the turnover of municipal party secretaries and local enterprise carbon emissions from 293 prefecture-level cities in China between 1990 and 2021. The research finds that turnovers of municipal party secretaries after the 18th National Congress have led to a significant reduction in carbon emissions from local enterprises, a trend that was not evident prior to the congress. This effect is more pronounced in situations where official turnover is primarily driven by promotion incentives, and less influenced by collusive behavior between the government and enterprises. Further analysis reveals that the decline in carbon emissions is more significant for private enterprises, non-heavy polluting enterprises, those located in the eastern region, and those in general prefecture-level cities, before and after municipal party secretary turnovers. This study enhances understanding of the relationship between the promotion incentives of Chinese officials and the carbon emissions of local enterprises, offering valuable insights for improving the official promotion assessment system and advancing local carbon reduction efforts.
  • 详情 Government Subsidies and Market Competition in Digital Transformation of Cultural and Tourism Enterprises: An Evolutionary Game Theory and Empirical Study
    Exploring the relationship between government subsidies, market competition, and the digital transformation of cultural and tourism enterprises (CTEs) will provide inspiration for upgrading and promoting the digitization development of China’s cultural and tourism industry. This paper theoretically and empirically evaluates the effect of government subsidies on digital transformation of CTEs by developing an evolutionary game combined with Hotelling model, and meanwhile using the econometric model. The theoretical model demonstrates that different subsidy scale will affect the evolutionary efficiency of the system under different market competition intensities. And the empirical model shows that the relationship between government subsidies and the digital transformation of CTEs is a U-shaped curve and the market competition exerts the flattening moderation on the U-shaped relationship. The findings provide guidance to both policymakers and managers.