China

  • 详情 Measurement and Spatial-Temporal Evolution Analysis of the High-Quality Development Level of China's Marine Economy
    This paper constructs an evaluation index system for the high-quality development of the marine economy based on the five dimensions of the new development paradigm. It employs entropy method, kernel density analysis, and Dagum Gini coefficient method to analyze the high-quality development level of China's marine economy and its spatial-temporal evolution from 2013 to 2022. The findings reveal that: (1) The comprehensive index for the high-quality development of China's marine economy exhibits an overall fluctuating upward trend; (2) The high-quality development levels of the marine economy in the eastern and southern marine economic circles are both above the national average, while that in the northern marine economic circle is below the national average; (3) The focus of high-quality development in China's marine economy is shifting towards economically developed regions along the southeast coast, demonstrating a trend of "higher in the south and lower in the north." Moreover, the gap in high-quality development of the marine economy among the three major marine economic circles is gradually narrowing, and the high-quality development of regional marine economies tends to become more coordinated.
  • 详情 How Does Climate Risk Affect Firm Export Sophistication? Evidence from China
    The frequent occurrence of extreme weather events not only poses serious challenges to global economic growth and financial stability but also affects firms negatively across multiple dimensions. Using a sample of Chinese A-share listed firms from 2006-2016, this study aims to explore the effect of climate risk on firm export sophistication. The findings show that climate risk inhibits firm export sophistication, with the results varying depending on firm and industry types. Specifically, climate risk (i) inhibits export sophistication for firms with low government subsidies more than for firms with high government subsidies; (ii) restraints export sophistication for firms in high-tech industries rather than for low-and medium-tech industries; and (iii) reduces export sophistication for firms in low-marketization regions more than for firms in high-marketization regions. In addition, channel analysis shows that climate risk inhibits firm export sophistication by increasing financial constraints and reducing human capital.
  • 详情 Industrial Transformation for Synergistic Carbon and Pollutant Reduction in China: Using Environmentally Extended Multi-Regional Input-Output Model and Multi-Objective Optimization
    China faces significant environmental challenges, including reducing pollutants, improving environmental quality, and peaking carbon emissions. Industrial restructuring is key to achieving both emission reductions and economic transformation. This study uses the Environmentally Extended Multi-Regional Input-Output model and multi-objective optimization to analyze pathways for China’s industrial transformation to synergistically reduce emissions. Our findings indicate that under a compromise scenario, China’s carbon emissions could stabilize at around 10.9 billion tonnes by 2030, with energy consumption controlled at approximately 5 billion tonnes. The Papermaking sector in Guangdong and the Chemicals sector in Shandong are expected to flourish, while the Coal Mining sector in Shanxi and the Communication Equipment sector in Jiangsu will see reductions. The synergy strength between carbon emission reduction and energy conservation is highest at 11%, followed by a 7% synergy between carbon emission and nitrogen oxide reduction. However, significant trade-offs are observed between carbon emission reduction and chemical oxygen demand, and ammonia nitrogen reduction targets at -9%. This comprehensive analysis at regional and sectoral levels provides valuable insights for advancing China’s carbon reduction and pollution control goals.
  • 详情 ESG Rating Disagreement and Price Informativeness with Heterogeneous Valuations
    In this paper, we present a rational expectation equilibrium model in which fundamental and ESG traders hold heterogeneous valuations towards the risky asset. Trading occurs based on private information and price signal which is determined by a weighted combination of these diverse valuations. Our findings indicate that higher level of ESG rating disagreement increases ESG information uncertainty, thereby reducing trading intensity among ESG traders and attenuating the price informativeness about ESG. We further discover that allowing fundamental traders access to ESG information increases the coordination possibilities in the financial market, leading to multiple equilibria exhibiting characteristics of strategic substitutability and complementarity. Additionally, through measuring the ESG rating disparities among four prominent agencies in China, we deduce that ESG rating disagreement negatively impacts price informativeness by decreasing stock illiquidity.
  • 详情 The impact of ESG performances on analyst report readability: Evidence from China
    It has been widely recognized that firms’ environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performances are crucial for shaping their information environments. Nonetheless, the impact of ESG performances on important analyst report attributes still remains clear. Our study reveals that superior firm. ESG performances significantly enhance the analyst report readability. The mechanism analysis demonstrates that this effect is primarily driven by increased information accessibility (the information acquisition channel) and greater analysts’ research efforts (the analyst effort channel). As expected, this effect is more pronounced in firms operating in highly polluted industries, firms with opaque financial infomration and state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Finally, our findings reveal that the release of analyst reports triggers higher market reactions for firms with superior ESG performances. In overall, our study highlights the criticial role of firm ESG performances in boosting financial analysts’ information production process.
  • 详情 A Cobc-Arma-Svr-Bilstm-Attention Green Bond Index Prediction Method Based on Professional Network Language Sentiment Dictionary
    Green bonds, pivotal to green finance, draw growing attention from scholars and investors. Social media’s proliferation has amplified the influence of investor sentiment, necessitating robust analysis of its market impact. However, general sentiment lexicons often fail to capture domain-specific slang and nuanced expressions unique to China’s bond market, leading to inaccuracies in sentiment analysis. Thus, this study constructs a specialized sentiment lexicon for the green bond market, namely the COBC (Chinese online bond comments sentiment lexicon), to dissect bond market slang and investor remarks. Compared to three general lexicons (Textbook, SnowNLP, and VADER), it improves the average prediction accuracy by approximately 87.2% in sentiment analysis of Chinese online language within the green bond domain. Sentiment scores derived from COBC-based dictionary analysis are systematically integrated as predictive features into a two-stage hybrid predictive model is proposed integrating Support Vector Machine (SVM), Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA), Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Networks (BiLSTM), and Attention Mechanisms to forecast China's green bond market, represented by the China Bond 45 Green Bond Index. First, ARMA-SVR is employed to extract residuals and statistical features from the green bond index. Then, the BiLSTM-Attention model is applied to assess the impact of investor sentiment on the index. Empirical results show that incorporating investor sentiment significantly enhances the predictive accuracy of the green bond index, achieving an average of 67.5% reduction in Mean Squared Error (MSE), and providing valuable insights for market participants and policymakers.
  • 详情 Can Low-Carbon Technology Transfer Accelerate the Convergence of Total Factor Energy Efficiency?
    The disparities in green transition have led to the call for a ‘just transition’. However, the large differences in energy efficiency across different regions have been identified as a primary hazard to the just transition. This study examines whether transferring low-carbon technology can improve the efficiency of energy, enhancing the overall energy efficiency, and marketing a sustainable and equitable energy future. In this paper, we utilize the Undesirable-SE-SBM model to estimate the energy efficiency of China's 30 provinces during 2012 to 2022, and empirically tested the impact of low-carbon technology transfer on the convergence of total-factor energy efficiency by convergence analysis. The results showed that: (1) There is evidence of σ convergence and absolute β convergence in the eastern and western regions, but not in the central region. (2) Low-carbon technology transfer can accelerate the convergence of total factor energy efficiency. Lagging regions that adopt low-carbon technologies can catch up with the advanced regions' level of total-factor energy efficiency. (3) There is regional heterogeneity in the effect of low-carbon technology transfer on the accelerating convergence of total factor energy efficiency. The western region experiences the most significant acceleration, followed by the eastern and central regions.
  • 详情 Entry and Market Dynamics: The Impact of Low-Cost Carriers in China
    This paper examines the impact of low-cost carriers (LCCs) on the pricing strategies of full-service carriers (FSCs) in the Chinese airline market. We first analyze the effect of LCC presence and find that LCCs exert significant downward pressure on FSC fares, with the magnitude of this impact varying across carriers and routes. Next, we explore the dynamic responses of incumbent FSCs to the entry and the threat of entry by LCCs. Our findings reveal that FSCs begin lowering fares well in advance of LCC entry, with fare reductions of approximately 11%–18% occurring as early as the 8th quarter before entry. The fare reductions intensify as the entry date approaches and persist beyond it. On the other hand, FSCs do not seem to respond to LCC entry threats. Our analysis highlights the importance of considering the dynamic pricing responses of FSCs rather than relying solely on LCC presence which is commonly used in the literature studying Chinese LCCs.
  • 详情 When Stars Hold Power: The Impact of Returnee Deans on Academic Publications in Chinese Universities
    This study investigates the "stars effect" of recruiting overseas scholars as deans and its impact on academic output in China from 2001-2019. We find that appointing a returnee dean increases a department's English publications by 40% annually. This positive effect applies to both top-tier and non-top-tier journals, without crowding out Chinese publications. The magnitude of the effect correlates with the dean's international connections and the ranks of the destination and source institutions. Returnee deans enhance output through knowledge spillovers, expanded networks, and increased overseas personnel, but not additional research grants. Our findings demonstrate the positive role and extensive influence of power-granted talent initiatives in developing regions.
  • 详情 Building Resilience: Leveraging Advanced Technology in Public Emergencies
    Public emergencies reduce social welfare but may paradoxically stimulate corporate innovation through crisis-driven technological adoption. This study establishes a theoretical framework demonstrating that exogenous shocks create asymmetric innovation incentives, with digitally disadvantaged firms exhibiting stronger technological upgrading responses. Empirically, we construct a firm-level digital transformation index through textual analysis using a multi-source media database in China to show that digital transformation can endow firm resilience by boosting capital market performance during public emergencies, especially for those medium-sized enterprises due to the costs and need for digital transformation. This research adds to the evidence that public emergencies can leverage advanced technology adoption.