Climate change

  • 详情 Pricing effects of extreme high temperature: Evidence from municipal corporate bonds in China
    Climate change and the escalation of extreme weather events jeopardize every corner of the globe. This paper investigates the impact of extreme high temperatures on the spread of newly issued municipal corporate bonds (MCBs) in China, which serves as a crucial instrument for local governments to meet the financial demands. We find that relative to the reference temperature range of 16 ◦C–20 ◦C, the issuing spread of MCBs increases by 2.48 basis points for each extra day where the mean temperature surpasses 32 ◦C. The findings highlight the risk-increasing effects of extreme temperatures in financial markets.
  • 详情 Climate Change and the Current Account
    This paper develops an SOE (small open economy) dynamic general equilibrium model to study the impact of climate change on the current account. By calibrating the model to Chinese economy, we find the following results. First, the current account-output ratio improves in the first decade following an increase in global temperature caused by climate change. It then deteriorates in the following next three decades. Second, the overall current account-output ratio dynamics in response to climate change is neither affected by the types and stringency of climate policies, nor by the levels and growth rates of temperature increases. Third, the impact of an increase in temperature from 1.28 ℃ to 1.5 ℃ relative to the pre-industrial periods (1850-1900) on the current account-output ratio is equivalent to that of an approximate 0.14% permanent decline in TFP. Finally, although the current account-output ratio is likely to deteriorate in the first year when temperature increases instantly, it might not be true if the coefficient of relative risk aversion, or interest rate premium is larger, or debt sensitivity to interest rate is smaller.
  • 详情 Climate Risk and Systemic Risk: Insights from Extreme Risk Spillover Networks
    Climate change shocks pose a threat to the stability of the financial system. This study examines the influence of climate risks on systemic risk in the Chinese market by utilizing extreme risk spillover network. Moreover, we construct climate risk indices for physical risks (abnormal temperature), and transition risks (Climate Policy Uncertainty). We demonstrate a significant increase in systemic risk due to climate risks, which can be attributed, in part, to investor sentiment. Furthermore, institutional investors can mitigate the adverse impact of climate risks. Our findings suggest that policymakers and investors need to exercise greater vigilance in addressing climaterelated adverse effects.
  • 详情 Duration-driven Carbon Premium
    This paper reconciles the debates on carbon return estimation by introducing the concept of equity duration. We demonstrate that emission level and emission intensity yield divergent results for green firms, driven by inherent data problems. Our findings reveal that equity duration effectively captures the multifaceted effects of carbon transition risks. Regardless of whether carbon transition risks are measured by emission level or emission intensity, brown firms earn lower returns than green firms when the equity duration is long. This relationship reverses for short-duration firms. Our analysis underscores the pivotal role of carbon transitions’ multifaceted effects on cash flow structures in understanding the pricing of carbon emissions.
  • 详情 Hedging Climate Change Risk: A Real-time Market Response Approach
    We present a novel methodology for constructing portfolios to hedge economic and financial risks arising from climate change. We utilize ChatGPT-4 to identify climate-related conversations during earnings conference calls and connect these time-stamped transcripts with high-frequency stock price data pinpointed to the conversation level. This approach allows us to assess a company’s dynamic exposure to climate change risks by analyzing real-time stock price responses to discussions about climate issues between managers and analysts. Our proposed portfolio, constructed by taking long (short) positions in stocks with positive (negative) market responses to climate conversations, appreciates in value during future periods with negative aggregate climate news shocks. Compared to portfolios constructed using alternative methods, our real-time market response-based portfolios demonstrate superior out-of-sample hedge performance. A key advantage of our approach is its ability to capture time-series and cross-sectional variations in stocks’ rapidly-evolving exposures to climate risk, relying on the timing of when climate-related issues become salient topics that warrant conference call discussions and real-time market responses to such conversations. Additionally, we showcase the versatility of our approach in hedging other types of dynamic risks: namely political risk and pandemic risk.
  • 详情 Climate Change and Households' Risk-Taking
    This paper studies a novel channel through which climate risks affect households’ choices of risky asset allocation: a stringent climate change regulation elevates labor income risk for households employed by high-emission industries which in turn discourages households' financial risk-taking. Using staggered adoptions of climate change action plans across states, we find that climate change action plans lead to a reduction in the share of risky assets by 15% for households in high-emission industries. We also find a reduction in risky asset holdings after the stringent EPA regulation. These results are stronger with experiences of climate change-related disasters. Our study implies an unintended consequence of climate regulations for wealth inequality by discouraging low-wealth households' financial risk-taking.
  • 详情 ESG, Financial Constraint and Financing Activities: A Study in Chinese Market
    This paper investigates the impact of Chinese firms’ ESG performance on their financial constraint and financing activities. We find a negative association between firms’ ESG performance and their financial constraint driven by the Chinese government’s commitment to tackling climate change. Compared with state-owned enterprises (SOEs), non-SOEs have alleviated their financial constraint through both equity and debt issuance, thanks to the stock price appreciation and green credit. High-pollution firms benefit from both equity and debt issuance, while low-pollution firms mainly finance through equity issuance. Our findings demonstrate the leading role of the Chinese government in its domestic capital markets.
  • 详情 The proposal of New China Climate Changes Prevention Law
    Background and objective:In southern China, in 2021, there have been being in hot Summer in more than 67 cities, counties or areas, with the hot temperature 30 degrees Celsius and more than 30 degrees Celsius with the highest as 34 degrees Celsius.After the Chinese lunar year and the 24 Solar Term, the beginning of winter has passed 5 days. And there have 23 cities, counties or areas which the temperature have reached the highest 34 degrees Celsius. Which all are rare in the weather history in China in the aspects of the highest temperature as 34 degrees Celsius and in large part of southern China in early Winter. As the World Health Organization, the United Nations and the world have been striving for preventing and curing the climate changes. And have been paying special attention to the health impacts by the climate changes. In China, after the history hottest Summer suffered from by the Chinese in 2022. The Chinese have been continuing to suffer from the hottest temperature like Summer in the early winter. So the weather in China is not normal comparing to the post years. And it is sure that the climate changes impacts on Chinese in China in 2022 have been evidenced. As I have been being a senior doctor treating and preventing patients and promoting the public health more than 35 years. I have the duty and the motive to do something to prevent and cure the climate changes and their impacts on public health. So in this research I especially create and propose a new draft law, the China climate changes prevention law, to speed, administrate and guard China doing well in preventing climate changes in China and the world. Methods: Summarized the public health promotion and environment protection in China and in author own doing. Referenced the present new situation of climate changes in China and the world. Created the China climate changes prevention law in draft and in central strategies. Results: The China climate changes prevention law in central strategies as follows: 1.In order to prevent and cure the climate changes and their impacts on public health and mankind, the China climate changes prevention law must be created as soon as possible. 2.All Chinese people and every government department and any unit must pay special attention to the climate changes and their impacts on public health and mankind. And must be consider it as the first doing job among the all works in any unit. 3.China own scientific research must be done as early as possible and as deeply as possible to find the etiology and mechanism of the climate changes and their impacts on public health and mankind. When the etiology and mechanism research have gained achievements. The application must be done as soon as possible. 4.The present achievements of etiology and mechanism of the climate changes and their impacts on public health and mankind must be applied as soon as possible. 5.All the policies of the United Nations and its organizations for controlling the climate changes must be signed and applied totally and completely as soon as possible. 6.China should be the leader of controlling the climate changes in the world. The significant China strategies must be contributed to the world for controlling the climate changes as soon as possible as China is the biggest country in population. 7.From birth and kindergarten to the time before death,the knowledge of environment protection and climate changes prevention, cure must be educated constantly to every Chinese. 8.The precondition for organizing any new unit and old unit must pass the exam of climate changes prevention. The concrete policies must be created and documented. 9.All over the China, the inspection stations must be built to monitor the climate changes wrongly doing. 10.Regulations and their process must be built to punish any anti law doers who promote the the climate changes. Also, reward any people and units who have contributed significantly to the prevention of climate changes. 11.Cooperation with internationals must be indispensable. 12.As the village of the Earth, open policies must be built to let internationals to inspect, learn,study and cooperation,etc. in China. 13.As the climate changes impacts on the Chinese and the mankind, the medical support, research, prevention, treatment, education and other health promotion policies must be created and built to protect the Chinese and the mankind from harming by the climate changes. The universities, hospitals, institutes should operate the climate changes impacts medical science. 14.Summarizing the doings of the climate changes prevention constantly to make progress further. 15.Liberating the thoughts of the leaders and the ordinary people, throwing away any selfish doing of only pursuing own country economic development at the price of world climate changes impact worse in the Earth and the space. Conclusion: The China climate changes prevention law in draft comes from the candid invention of the author by summarized the present situation of climate changes impacts in China and the world. The 15 paragraphs of the new China climate changes prevention law is valuable, as up to now, China has not built this kind of law. This proposal of the new China climate changes prevention law is worthwhile to referenced by China lawmakers, world countries lawmakers, the UN and its organizations and related others.
  • 详情 Everywhere in China all air conditioners, ice chestn and refrigerators have been consuming and emitting the Freon and alike chemicals. It is imperative to cure
    Objective: In order to prevent and cure the more and more worse greenhouse effects, climate change impacts and living environment for man kinds, new dangerious factors must be found, identified and prevented. Method: Summarized and research the facts of China as the top consumer of refrigerant. So China is the top consumer and elininater of the Freon and alike chemicals. So call for preventing and curing the worse green house effects, climate change impacts caused by the Freon and alike chemicals. Results: As China is the biggest country in the world with 1.4billions people and top economic power. China should be the leader to control the Freon and alike chemicals, and the green house effect and the global warming. But now, China has been still being the top consumer of the Freon and alike chemicals or the top consumer of refrigerant. We must face squarely what shortcomings we have had. And correct it at once.As the facts tell us the Freon and alike chemicals have been the dangerious factors of the green house effect and the global warming. So we can create new policy and science to reduce and control the Freon and alike chemicals at once. And so on the green house effect and the global warming. Everywhere in China there has been being all air conditioners, ice chestn and refrigerators have been consuming and emitting the Freon and alike chemicals. After China had been producing main part of CFC of Freon in the world. And the CFC of Freon have been banned. China has been changing to HCFC of Freon and HFC of Freon as substitutes. It has been being known to all that every place in China, where people live and work. There must have air conditioners, ice chestn and refrigerators. From family households, factories, government offices, hospitals, tools of transportation, even the spacecrafts have been being equipped with air conditioners, ice chestn and refrigerators. All the air conditioners, ice chestn and refrigerators have been consuming and emitting the HCFC of Freon and HFC of Freon after CFC of Freon. Because the China is the biggest country in the world. The population of China is the much too more than any other country in the world. So the family households, factories, government offices, hospitals, tools of transportation must be much too more than any other country in the world. Therefore, the air conditioners, ice chestn and refrigerators also must be much too more than any other country in the world. At present, China must have been consuming and emitting the HCFC of Freon and HFC of Freon more than other countries. HCFC and HFC of Freon are not green products and environmental protection products Though HCFC of Freon has less effect to deplete the Ozone Layer. But it is not the perfect substances. Some HCFC of Freon have been being banned from usage. Which indicate that the HCFC of Freon are not green products and environmental protection products. While theoretically, the ODP (The Ozone Depletion Potential) of HFC of Freon is 0. But the Global warming potential(GWP) is very high. Therefore, the HFC of Freon are also not green products and environmental protection products. While China has been being the biggest and main producer and consumer of the banned CFC of Freon and the biggest and main producer and consumer of the HCFC and HFC of Freon. So Chinese air conditioners, ice chestn and refrigerators must make more Ozone Depletion and Global warming substances. Conclusion: The concrete policies must be created as soon as possible. Reducing the top consumer and elininater of the Freon and alike chemicals or create new chemicals without the worse green house effects, climate change impacts were China’s and world’s imperative policy.
  • 详情 The Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage has been being no effective to prevent climate change impacts and living environment, the proposals suggested
    Objective: In order to prevent and cure the more and more worse greenhouse effects, climate change impacts and living environment for man kinds, new administration strategies must be created. So the research has been done. Methods: Summarized and research the present situations and facts of preventing and curing the worse green house effects, climate change impacts and living environment. And create the new administration strategies. Results: The present situations and facts of preventing and curing the worse green house effects, climate change impacts and living environment are critical and in emergency. And the solutions have not been being effective. There are 8 facts for less effective doing have been summarized. They include the world now, mainly pay attention to CO2 emission reducing, but not all greenhouse gases, etc.. And the 9 new administration strategies have been proposed. The first one is that China, other countries and international professional agencies must change their administration thinking immediately. And pay broad and whole attention to reduce whole greenhouse gases to the aims of zero emission. Not just only play technology of Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage. The second one is that China, other countries and international professional agencies must put the recovering the worse greenhouse effects and climate change impacts as first duty and responsibility. And the other 7 strategies are in the text. Conclusion: It is imperative to prevent and cure the worse green house effects, climate change impacts and living environment for man kinds as soon as possible. As the man kinds have been suffering from the worse living environment day and night in more and more intensive speed and damage. The research have summarized the 8 principles facts about the shortcomings in controlling the worse green house effects and climate change impacts. Which should be paid attention by the related professionals and administrators. And the 9 proposed new administration strategies should also be referenced by the related professionals and administrators. As this kind of research has not been reported by other professionals.