详情
Convexity-Based Hedging with Treasury Futures: A Model and Numerical Analysis
Traditional hedge of bond duration and convexity are incorrect. We derive correct
hedge ratios by capturing the neglected volatility linkage between Treasury futures and
cheapest-to-deliver Treasuries. Our hedge-ratio equations specify each hedge instrument’s
contribution against short-term spot and forward rate exposures. Our numerical analysis
indicates that traditional hedge substantially overhedges. The relative overhedge is
especially large in hedging high coupon bond when the hedge horizon is long, the term
structure is steep, or the cheapest-to-deliver is a high coupon Treasury. The results are
robust to various maturity of bond and the cheapest-to-deliver Treasuries.