Double machine learning

  • 详情 Artificial Intelligence, Stakeholders and Maturity Mismatch: Exploring the Differential Impacts of Climate Risk
    The corporate maturity mismatch is highly likely to trigger systemic financial risks, which is a realistic issue commonly faced by businesses. In the context of the intelligent era, the impact of artificial intelligence on maturity mismatch has emerged as a focal point of academic inquiry. Leveraging data from Chinese A-share companies over the 2011–2023 timeframe, this research employs a double machine learning approach to systematically examine the influence and underlying mechanisms of artificial intelligence on maturity mismatch. The findings reveal that artificial intelligence significantly exacerbates maturity mismatch. However, this effect is notably mitigated by government subsidies, media attention, and collectivist cultural. Further analysis indicates that in high-climate-risk scenarios, collectivist culture exerts a notably strong moderating influence. By contrast, government subsidies and media attention exhibit stronger moderating influences in low-climate-risk environments. This study constructs a multi-stakeholder collaborative governance framework, which helps to reveal the 'black box' between artificial intelligence and maturity mismatch, thereby offering a theoretical basis for monitoring maturity mismatch.
  • 详情 How Does China's Household Portfolio Selection Vary with Financial Inclusion?
    Portfolio underdiversification is one of the most costly losses accumulated over a household’s life cycle. We provide new evidence on the impact of financial inclusion services on households’ portfolio choice and investment efficiency using 2015, 2017, and 2019 survey data for Chinese households. We hypothesize that higher financial inclusion penetration encourages households to participate in the financial market, leading to better portfolio diversification and investment efficiency. The results of the baseline model are consistent with our proposed hypothesis that higher accessibility to financial inclusion encourages households to invest in risky assets and increases investment efficiency. We further estimate a dynamic double machine learning model to quantitatively investigate the non-linear causal effects and track the dynamic change of those effects over time. We observe that the marginal effect increases over time, and those effects are more pronounced among low-asset, less-educated households and those located in non-rural areas, except for investment efficiency for high-asset households.