详情
Political contributions and analyst behavior
We show that the personal traits of analysts, as revealed by their
political donations, influence their forecasting behavior and stock prices. Analysts
who contribute primarily to the Republican Party adopt a more conservative fore-
casting style. Their earnings forecast revisions are less likely to deviate from the
forecasts of other analysts and are less likely to be bold. Their stock recommen-
dations also contain more modest upgrades and downgrades. Overall, these analysts
produce better quality research, which is recognized and rewarded by their
employers, institutional investors, and the media. Stock market participants, how-
ever, do not fully recognize their superior ability as the market reaction following
revisions by these analysts is weaker.