Housing Prices

  • 详情 Housing Price and Credit Environment: Evidence from China
    In this paper, we use a unique dataset of the List of Dishonest Judgment Debtors to explore the impact on the social credit environment of the increasing housing prices in China. We find that housing price has a negative impact on the local credit environment. Dominance analysis suggests that housing price contributes to the model R-squared (R2) by an overwhelming majority, suppressing any other economic or social factors in explaining the deteriorating credit environment. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the rule of law and moral standards mitigate the negative influence of high housing prices, while income inequality exacerbates the influence.
  • 详情 Does Air Pollution Cause a Reduction of Housing Prices? New Evidence Using Central Environmental Protection Inspection as a Quasi-Natural Experiment
    This paper investigates the causal effects of air pollution on housing prices in China using a dataset of 65 cities from 2014 to 2021. We employ the central environmental protection inspection (CEPI) as a quasi-natural experiment for air pollution index to show a negative causal relationship between air pollution and housing prices. We also find that this causal relationship is more pronounced for less-developed, manufacturing-intensive and tourismrelied cities. Our results reveal the response to central environmental protection inspection on improvement in regional air pollution protection but its by-effects on housing markets, as the impact is limited if the inspection is conducted repeatedly, suggesting its unsustainability as a regulatory tool.
  • 详情 Value of Qualification to Buy a House: Evidence from the Housing Purchase Restriction Policy in China
    China’s housing purchase restriction (HPR) policy imposes administrative restrictions on households’ home purchase eligibility to curb speculative demand. We quantify households’ willingness to pay (WTP) to re-acquire such eligibility. The empirical results based on the staggered DID specification suggest that when local governments implement the HPR policy, the transaction prices of judicial housing auctions legally exempted from HPR increase by 18.91%. This HPR-exempted qualification premium can be converted to an estimate of 22.48% of the transaction price as buyers’ WTP for home purchase eligibility. The heterogeneity analysis also suggests that the WTP significantly increases when speculative incentives are stronger in the housing market. If policymakers in mainland China consider replacing the HPR policy with an additional buyer transaction tax like that in Singapore and Hong Kong, China, the WTP estimates can serve as the benchmark in setting the tax rate.
  • 详情 The Health Consequence of Rising Housing Prices in China
    This paper examines the health consequence of rising housing prices by exploiting spatial and temporal variation in housing price appreciation linked to individual-level health data in China from 2000 to 2011. Using an instrumental variable approach, we find robust evidence that increases in housing prices significantly raise the probability of residents having chronic diseases. This negative health impact is more pronounced among individuals from lowincome families and rural to urban migrants. Exploring various possible channels, we find that marriage culture and marriage market competition exacerbates the negative health effects, particularly for males and parents with young adult sons. Our results also reveal that housing price appreciation induces negative health consequences through increased work intensity, higher mental stress, and changes in lifestyle. This paper underlines the unintended health consequences of the real estate market prosperity.