Investor expectations

  • 详情 Investor Risk Concern and Insider Opportunistic Sales
    This paper extracts investor risk concern from the text of investormanagement communications and examines their impact on insider opportunistic sales. Utilizing data from listed companies holding online earnings communication conferences (OECCs) in China from 2007 to 2022, we find that heightened investor risk concern significantly curbs insider opportunistic sales, as manifested by reduced frequency and magnitude of such transactions. This governance effect of investor risk concern persists irrespective of motivation strength behind opportunistic sales. Further analysis reveals that the governance effect intensifies when investors exhibit superior information processing capabilities and when management’s risk statements better align with investor expectations. Notably, while mitigating opportunistic sales, elevated investor risk concern also significantly decreases the firm’s cost of equity capital. Our findings underscore the importance of fostering transparent and engaging investor-management communication in promoting effective corporate governance and mitigating insider misconduct.
  • 详情 ESG Rating Divergence, Investor Expectations, and Stock Returns
    We investigate the relationship between ESG rating divergence and stock returns from an investor’s perspective, to explore the impact of inconsistency among ESG rating agencies on the capital market. We construct ESG rating divergence data using ratings from three prominent ESG rating agencies in China. Our study is based on 54,679 company-quarter observations from 2018 to 2022, which covers 4,377 Chinese listed companies. Our findings demonstrate a significant negative impact of ESG rating divergence on stock returns, which we validate through a series of robustness tests and endogenous analyses. Notably, we find that investors’ expectations mediate the relationship between ESG rating divergence and stock returns. Further analyses show that only the divergence in social ratings have a significant inhibitory effect on stock returns. In addition, ESG rating divergence significantly impedes subsequent average ESG ratings. The adverse relationship between ESG rating divergence and stock returns is particularly pronounced in non-heavy pollution companies, non-state-owned companies, and companies with lower external attention.