Media

  • 详情 The effect of online discussions among individual investors on managerial learning from stock prices
    Utilizing data from the East Money stock forum, one of China's most influential financial portals, this study examines how online discussions among individual investors influence managerial learning from stock prices to make investment decisions. We find that higher discussion intensity is associated with lower investment-q sensitivity, indicating that investors' online discussions impede managerial learning from prices. This effect operates through a decline in information asymmetry and the probability of informed trading. Furthermore, the negative impact is more pronounced when managers exhibit stronger incentives to learn from market signals. Overall, our findings support a crowding-out mechanism: online discussions crowd out the private information gathering of informed traders, thereby reducing the informativeness of prices for real investment decisions.
  • 详情 When Governments Go Social: Firm Valuation in the Digital Era
    We examine the impact of government social media on capital markets using China's staggered adoption of local government microblogs. A difference-indifferences design reveals economically significant increases in firm value, with stronger effects for more content-rich, original, and interactive microblogs. We find improvements in the corporate information environment and reductions in perceived uncertainty, with larger effects for firms with limited external information coverage and in stronger business environments. During the COVID-19 Wuhan lockdown, firms in regions with more active microblogs achieved better stock performance. Overall, government social media is a powerful tool for enhancing transparency, firm valuation, and market resilience.
  • 详情 Traditional Institutions and Modern Preferences: Evidence from Clan Culture and Old-age Support
    This paper examines how traditional informal institutions shape preferences for old-age support and the emergence of initiative-based long-term financial planning. Using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study combined with clan genealogy records, we estimate the causal impact of exposure to clan culture on old-age support preferences. We find that stronger exposure to clan culture in early life is associated with a higher likelihood of adopting modern preferences for old-age support, characterized by greater reliance on self-initiated savings and pension participation rather than dependence on children. The results are robust to instrumental variable estimation and placebo test. Importantly, the effect operates exclusively through exposure to clan culture during early life, while clan culture encountered in adulthood has no significant influence, particularly among individuals who relocate later in life. Mechanism analysis suggests that peer effects, generalized trust, income growth, and financial literacy jointly mediate the relationship between clan culture and old-age support preferences. We further show that the expansion of the formal pension system complements, rather than crowds out, the influence of clan culture, consistent with a process of co-evolution between informal and formal institutions. The effects are stronger among individuals with favorable attitudes toward clans, rural residents, and men. Finally, modern preferences induced by clan culture translate into higher pension participation and larger financial asset holdings. Overall, the findings highlight how informal institutions can shape economic preferences and facilitate the adoption of formal financial arrangements.
  • 详情 Why Digital Disruption Stays Incremental: Cross-Domain Convergence in Green Digital Business Model Innovation
    Digital technologies are often portrayed as disruptive levers for decarbonisation, yet many digital green initiatives improve transparency and efficiency without redesigning how environmental value is authorised, coordinated, and appropriated. We address this puzzle by theorising green digital business model innovation as the evolution of venture-level configurations under multi-domain selection in policy-steered sustainability transitions. Building on the activity-system view of business models and on innovation-studies, we define business model radicality as coupled reconfiguration across content, structure, and governance rather than technology novelty alone. We further theorise a cross-domain convergence requirement: configurations are retained only when they align simultaneously with institutional role allocations, market interfaces, technological infrastructures, and ecological verification demands. A comparative longitudinal study of three blockchain-enabled initiatives in China’s energy-finance nexus shows that radical disintermediation is screened out early when any single domain withholds authorisation or credible settlement, whereas incumbent-compatible configurations are retained through sequencing, interpretive pruning, and boundary-spanning alignment work. The study contributes to innovation studies by treating business models as meso-level selection objects, sharpening configuration-level radicality, and explaining why digital green opportunities often remain incremental in regulated transition systems.
  • 详情 Socioeconomic and Political Pathways to Achieving Environmental Sustainability in China
    The emphasis on environmental sustainability outcomes (ESO) in emerging economies has increased recently, requiring in-depth research to manage the complex interplay between socioeconomic and sociopolitical factors. With a particular focus on China, this study describes this significant relationship using a good technique that comprises standardized questionnaires administered to a large sample of different organizational levels. This research examined several factors and their effects on ESO. First, the results show that the kind of economic system (EST) directly affects ESO; no direct relationship was discovered between ESO and the industrialization level (LI). Furthermore, it was demonstrated that government funding for eco-sustainability projects (GFESP) and community engagement and eco-education initiatives (CEEEI) had a direct impact on ESO. Secondly, the results demonstrated that implementing eco-policies and regulations (IEPR) had a full mediating effect between EST and ESO. Third, political instability (PI) and corruption level (CL), which are essentially the outcome of China's current political and environmental issues, diminish the correlation between EST and ESO. These findings demonstrate that China's environmental sustainability has to be improved using a multimodal approach. The public is encouraged to push legislators to bolster eco-laws and policies in order to emphasize environmental preservation. Initiatives to reduce corruption and maintain political stability may also bolster the beneficial effects of economic frameworks on ESO.
  • 详情 "Influencing Factors and Incentive Strategies of Individual Participation Mechanism in Carbon Trading: A Carbon Inclusion System Perspective Based on Subject Heterogeneity"
    Against the backdrop of escalating global carbon emission reduction urgency and China’s "dual carbon" goals, individual carbon trading (ICT) has emerged as a key measure to tap into consumer-side emission reduction potential. However, the current ICT mechanism remains in the exploratory stage, plagued by limited access to formal trading channels, strict entry barriers, and low public penetration, only 5 carbon exchanges in China allow individual participation, with fewer than 10,000 total participants. Focusing on mechanism integrity and integrating the carbon inclusive system, this study explores the influencing factors of ICT operation and constructs targeted optimization strategies. Based on Mechanism Design Theory, the Theory of Planned Behavior, and Value-Belief-Norm Theory, a theoretical model covering five core ICT components was established. Using data from 1,200 questionnaires across 15 Chinese cities, multiple linear regression and hierarchical regression were employed to analyze the impacts of institutional fairness, technical usability, social atmosphere, and individual cognition. Results show: (1) Institutional fairness increases quota compliance by 38% through transparent rules; (2) User-friendly technical tools boost engagement by 1.8x, enhancing accounting accuracy and platform efficiency; (3) Social atmosphere moderates the effect of individual cognition on incentive conversion, particularly strongly in rural areas; (4) Individual cognition mediates the relationship between social atmosphere and trading platform efficiency. Additionally, optimizing mechanism components is more critical for long-term operation than single incentives. This study proposes a multi-dimensional optimization framework, providing theoretical and policy references for improving ICT integrity and advancing "dual carbon" goals.
  • 详情 Commodity Risk Mispricing and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns
    We study whether commodity risk is efficiently priced in the cross-section of US equities. We first provide novel evidence on firm-level risk exposure to up to 42 individual commodities. We then construct a mispricing measure as the realized return less the commodity-risk-implied return, and find that it strongly predicts next-month return reversal beyond the traditional short-term reversal. This commodity-risk-mispricing reversal is substantially stronger among small, less analyst- or media-covered stocks, is weakly associated with investor sentiment, and is less prevalent among firms that engage in commodity hedging. In particular, underpricing among these hedgers often remains persistent and even intensifies after the 2004 financialization of commodity markets. This implies that despite the overall decline in mispricing, financialization has likely introduced more costs than benefits for corporate risk management.
  • 详情 Tail Dependence in Media Sentiment, Investor Attention, and Stock Returns: An M-Clayton Copula Approach
    Under China’s transition toward high-quality financial development, this study investigates the tail dependence among media sentiment, investor attention, and stock market returns using the M-Clayton Copula. Comparative model fitting tests demonstrate that the M-Clayton Copula outperforms both single Copula models and M-Copula models in characterizing asymmetric negative dependence structures. It is particularly effective in capturing both upper-lower and lower-upper tail dependencies, thereby providing a more comprehensive analysis of their interdependencies. The empirical results reveal three key findings. First, a significant positive tail dependence exists between media sentiment and stock market returns, suggesting that they tend to move together under extreme conditions, with notable asymmetry in the strength of co-movements. Second, media sentiment and investor attention exhibit negative tail dependence, with the lower-upper tail dependence coefficient exceeding its upper-lower counterpart, suggesting higher probability of rising investor attention following media sentiment decline than vice versa. Third, a pronounced negative tail dependence emerges between stock market returns and investor attention, particularly showing strong lower-upper tail correlation, implying substantial likelihood of increased investor attention subsequent to market downturns.
  • 详情 From cash to code: are Central Bank digital currencies the future of money or a risk to financial stability?
    The global financial system is currently navigating a profound transformation driven by digitalization and the rise of decentralized financial innovations. In response, central banks are increasingly exploring or implementing Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) as a sovereign digital evolution of fiat money. This study investigates the dual nature of CBDCs, evaluating whether they represent a strategic opportunity to modernize the economy or a systemic threat to existing financial stability. Employing a qualitative methodology, the research analyzes official policy frameworks from the IMF and BIS alongside diverse real-world case studies, including China’s e-CNY, the Bahamas’ Sand Dollar, Nigeria’s eNaira, and the European Central Bank’s Digital Euro. The findings suggest that while CBDCs offer significant benefits—such as enhanced payment efficiency, reduced transaction costs, and improved financial inclusion—they also introduce critical risks. These include the potential disintermediation of commercial banks, heightened cybersecurity vulnerabilities, and concerns regarding individual data privacy and government surveillance. The study concludes that the successful integration of CBDCs is not merely a technical challenge but a social and strategic one. Adoption is heavily dependent on infrastructure, digital literacy, and public trust. Ultimately, the research highlights that there is no "one-size-fits-all" model; the future of money will be shaped by how effectively individual nations balance technological innovation with the preservation of financial architecture.
  • 详情 Talking the Talk but Not Walking the Walk: e-CNY and Corporate Digital Catering in China
    Firms frequently overstate digital transformation in public disclosures while committing less in observable investment, a phenomenon known as digital catering. We examine whether digital public financial infrastructure can discipline such symbolic behavior. Using a staggered difference-in-differences design on Chinese A-share listed firms over 2014--2024, we find that exposure to China's e-CNY pilot reduces digital catering by roughly 14% relative to the sample mean. The decline is driven almost entirely by reduced rhetorical digital transformation, while balance-sheet-based digital commitment rises only marginally: the e-CNY pilot is associated with substantially less digital talk, but not with a commensurate increase in digital walk in the short run. The effect operates through lower agency costs and reduced information asymmetry, and follows an amplification--substitution pattern---stronger among digital-sector and accounting-opaque firms, weaker where internal controls and institutional ownership are already strong. The evidence identifies financial-transaction verifiability as a novel source of discipline over corporate cheap talk: CBDC-related infrastructure constrains unsupported symbolic claims without immediately accelerating substantive digital investment.
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