Momentum spillover

  • 详情 A Tale of Two News-implied Linkages: Information Structure, Processing Costs and Cross-firm Predictability
    This paper decomposes news-implied linkages into two types: leader-follower links (LF) and peer links (PE), based on people's reading and information-processing habits. We explore how the structure of information impacts processing costs and subsequently leads to market outcomes by examining momentum spillover effects via these distinct linkage types. Our findings indicate that the information structure of leader-follower links is more readily comprehensible to investors than peer linkages. We provide empirical evidence of this by demonstrating faster attention spillover from leader to follower than among peer firms, using Baidu search data. Furthermore, we document that due to the lower information processing cost, information transmits through the leader-follower linkages more quickly, leading to a weaker momentum spillover effect compared to the more complex and less easily perceivable peer links.
  • 详情 Diamond Cuts Diamond: News Co-mention Momentum Spillover Prevails in China
    We conduct a comprehensive study on momentum spillovers in the Chinese stock market using varioustypes of economic linkages. We find that the news co-mention momentum spillover is signiffcantly strongercompared to other forms of momentum spillovers. Using spanning tests and Fama-MacBeth regressions,we further show that the news co-mention momentum spillover uniffes all different forms of momentum spillover effects in the Chinese stock market. Notably, the analyst co-coverage momentum spillover effect, which is the dominant species in the US stock market, is subsumed by the news co-mention momentum spillover effect in the Chinese stock market. We further explore the differences in the information content of links implied by news co-mentioning and other proxies. We suggest that the dominance of news co-mention momentum spillover over others can be attributed to two primary factors: comprehensive information and prompt updates.
  • 详情 News Links and Predictable Returns
    Exploiting ffnancial news stories data, we construct news-implied linkages and document a strong lead-lag effect of ffrms with shared news coverage in China’s stockmarket. The news-link momentum strategy generates a monthly return of 1.33% and a four-factor alpha (Liu et al., 2019) of 1.43%. While prior evidence on the attention dynamics among ffrms with joint news coverage is limited, we show that the momentum spillover of news-linked ffrms is largely driven by investor underreaction. The return predictability from news links is also robust to controlling for alternative economic linkages. The ffndings suggest that information diffuses sluggishly among news-connected ffrms, thereby providing new evidence on the implication of media coverage for pricing efffciency.
  • 详情 Shared Analyst Coverage and Connected-Firm Momentum Spillover in China
    We provide the first systematic analysis of the stock return lead-lag effect among firms connected through shared analyst coverage in China’s A-share markets. We measure the shared analysts-weighted average returns of connected firms (CF) and show that CF return is a significant positive predictor of future returns of the focal firms in the following one to 12 months. The CF-based long-short portfolio earns an abnormal return of 10% to 12% per year. The effect is robust to controls for the industry and geographic momentum effects. Further evidence shows that the CF momentum spillover effect is stronger when the focal firm shares more analysts with connected firms, is covered by more non-star analysts or analysts with lower levels of education, or is held by more stress-resistant institutional investors. Our findings contribute to the cross-asset momentum literature by documenting a new, strong, and long-lasting momentum spillover effect in the Chinese stock markets.