Network

  • 详情 Modeling Investor Attention with News Hypergraphs
    We introduce a hypergraph-based approach to analyze information flow and investor attention transfers through news outlets in financial markets. Extending traditional graph models that focus on pairwise interactions, our hypergraph framework captures higher order relationships between firms that are simultaneously mentioned in the same news article. We develop a random walk based centrality framework that considers both the properties of the hyperedges (news articles) and the nodes (firms). This framework allows us to more accurately simulate investor attention flows and to incorporate different theories of investor behavior, such as category learning and investor attention theory. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our attention centrality, we apply it to the Chinese CSI500 market index from 2016 to 2021, where our centrality measures improve the prediction of future returns, with improvements ranging from 6.3% to 14.0% compared to traditional graph-based models. This improvement implies that our centrality measure can better capture investor attention transfers on the news hypergraph. In particular, we find that investors pay more attention to news that covers both a greater number of firms and firms on which the sentiments are more negative. Although we focus on financial markets in this research, our hypergraph framework holds potential for broader applications in information systems — for example, in understanding social or collaboration networks.
  • 详情 Network Centrality and Market Information Efficiency: Evidence from Corporate Site Visits in China
    Utilizing a unique data set of corporate site visits to Chinese capital market from 2013 to 2022, this study provides new evidence on the economic benefits brought by corporate site visits from a social network perspective. Specifically, we examine that whether information transmission through network of corporate site visits. Our results show that network centrality is positively associated with market information efficiency. This positive effect is robust and remains valid after a battery of robustness checks and endogeneity analyses, which verify the existence of information interaction in the network of corporate site visits. Furthermore, we find evidence that network of company visits positively influence market information efficiency through lowering information asymmetry between investors and listed firms rather than the “irrational factor” mechanism. In brief, our paper contributes to the existing research by presenting evidence that corporate site visits are significant venues for investors to gain and exchange information about listed companies.
  • 详情 Social Identity and Labor Market Outcomes of Internal Migrant Workers
    Previousresearch on internal mobility has neglected the role of local identity contrary to studies analyzing international migration. Examining social identity and labor market outcomes in China, the country with the largest internal mobility in the world, closes the gap. Instrumental variable estimation and careful robustness checks suggest that identifying as local associates with higher migrants’ hourly wages and lower hours worked, although monthly earnings seem to remain largely unchanged. Migrants with strong local identity are more likely to use local networks in job search, and to obtain jobs with higher average wages and lower average hours worked, suggesting the value of integration policies.
  • 详情 Institutional Investor Cliques and Corporate Innovation: Evidence from China
    This study analyzes the network structures of institutional shareholders and examines the influence of institutional investor cliques on corporate innovation. Our empirical results reveal that institutional investor cliques significantly enhance both innovation input and output. To mitigate endogeneity concerns and establish causality, we adopt multiple empirical strategies. Further evidence suggests that the beneficial impact of institutional investor cliques on firm innovation can be attributed to increased innovation investment efficiency, enhanced employee productivity, reduced information asymmetry, and decreased managerial myopia. Additionally, we find that the positive effect of institutional investor cliques on firm innovation is more pronounced in non-state-owned enterprises and is particularly evident in firms with severe agency conflicts, CEO duality issues, highly competitive product markets, and for firms that have low stock liquidity.
  • 详情 Spatiotemporal Correlation in Stock Liquidity Through Corporate Networks from Information Disclosure Texts
    The healthy operation of the stock market relies on sound liquidity. We utilize the semantic information from disclosure texts of listed companies on the China Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) to construct a daily corporate network. Through empirical tests and performance analyses of machine learning models, we elucidate the relationship between the similarity of company disclosure text contents and the temporal and spatial correlations of stock liquidity. Our liquidity indicators encompass trading costs, market depth, trading speed, and price impact, recognized across four dimensions. Furthermore, we reveal that the information loss caused by employing Minimum Spanning Tree (MST) topology significantly affects the explanatory power of network topology indicators for stock liquidity, with a more pronounced impact observed at the document level. Subsequently, by establishing a neural network model to predict next-day liquidity indicators, we demonstrate the temporal relationship of stock liquidity. We model a liquidity predicting task and train a daily liquidity prediction model incorporating Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) modules to solve it. Compared to models with the same parameter structure containing only fully connected layers, the GCN prediction model, which leverages company network structure information, exhibits stronger performance and faster convergence. We provide new insights for research on company disclosure and capital market liquidity.
  • 详情 Informal Institutions, Corporate Innovation, and Policy Innovation
    Informal institutions can play a crucial role in fostering corporate and policy innovation, especially when formal institutions are weak. However, their intangible nature makes them difficult to quantify. In this paper, we proxy the strength of kinship-based informal institutions using surname homogeneity among business owners, specifically, the extent to which they share a limited number of surnames within the same county. Our analysis reveals that a one-standard-deviation increase in the strength of informal institutions leads to a 21.1% increase in patent filings and an 18.9% increase in policy innovation. We find that kinship-related informal institutions foster corporate innovation by compensating for weak formal institutions, enhancing protection for intellectual property rights, facilitating access to finance, improving public service delivery, and promoting supply chain cooperation. We also suggest that kinship-related informal institutions encourage local governments to engage in policy experimentation, which relies on the collaboration of business owners. This experimentation process is easier to coordinate and monitor in counties dominated by a few kinship networks. Both informal institutions and policy innovation contribute to economic development and foster entrepreneurial market entries. However, the positive impact of informal institutions declines over time as formal institutions strengthen in China.
  • 详情 Predicting Stock Price Crash Risk in China: A Modified Graph Wavenet Model
    The stock price of a firm is dynamically influenced by its own factors as well as those of its peers. In this study, we introduce a Graph Attention Network (GAT) integrated with WaveNet architecture—termed the GAT-WaveNet model—to capture both time-series and spatial dependencies for forecasting the stock price crash risk of Chinese listed firms from 2012 to 2021. Utilizing node-rolling techniques to prevent overfitting, our results show that the GAT-WaveNet model significantly outperforms traditional machine learning models in prediction accuracy. Moreover, investment portfolios leveraging the GAT-WaveNet model substantially exceed the cumulative returns of those based on other models.
  • 详情 Common Institutional Ownership and Enterprises' Labor Income Share
    Based on the sample of Chinese A-listed firms from 2003 to 2020, this paper investigates the effect of common institutional ownership on labor income share. The result shows that common institutional ownership can significantly increase firms’ labor income share. Mechanism tests indicate that common ownership can: 1) alleviate financial constraints by reducing the debt financing costs and increasing the trade credit financing, thus increasing the labor income share; 2) improve corporate innovation and therefore enhances the demand for highly-skilled labor, which eventually boost labor income share. Competitive hypothesis test represents that common institutional ownership can reduce the monopoly power of enterprises and decrease monopoly rent, so as to increase the proportion of labor in the distribution. Further analyses present that the network formed by the common ownership can effectively exert the financing support role of SOEs and the knowledge spillover effect of innovative-advantage firms, which contributes to the labor income share increasing of other related firms in the network connection. This study not only enriches the economic consequences of common institutional ownership, but also provides policy guidance for the government to further optimize the income-distribution pattern by deepening the reform of the financial market.
  • 详情 How Financial Influencers Rise Performance Following Relationship and Social Transmission Bias
    Using unique account-level data from a leading Chinese fintech platform, we investigate how financial influencers, the key information intermediaries in social finance, attract followers through a process of social transmission bias. We document a robust performance-following pattern wherein retail investors overextrapolate influencers’ past returns rather than rational learning in the social network from their past performance. The transmission bias is amplified by two mechanisms: (1) influencers’ active social engagement and (2) their index fund-heavy portfolios. Evidence further reveals influencers’self-enhancing reporting through selective performance disclosure. Crucially, the dynamics ultimately increase risk exposure and impair returns for follower investors.
  • 详情 Risk-Based Peer Networks and Return Predictability: Evidence from textual analysis on 10-K filings
    We construct a novel risk-based similarity peer network by applying machine learning techniques to extract a comprehensive set of disclosed risk factors from firms' annual reports. We find that a firm's future returns can be significantly predicted by the past returns of its risk-similar peers, even after excluding firms within the same industry. A long-short portfolio, formed based on the returns of these risk-similar peers, generates an alpha of 84 basis points per month. This return predictability is particularly pronounced for negative-return stocks and those with limited investor attention, suggesting that the effect is driven by slow information diffusion across firms with similar risk exposures. Our findings highlight that the risk factors disclosed in 10-K filings contain valuable information that is often overlooked by investors.